Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish54%
4h Downside probability 54%Bearish

ETHUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,689.7 and stabilize above resistance 2,776.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2,776.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.8, MACD -2.991

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 27.9 (1.04%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 82,685.2Bearish
EMA 212,689.7Bearish
EMA 502,683.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD -2.991

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 27.9 · BB 3.04%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 55.6 · OBV -0.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
2,639 - 2,776.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.53% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

2,804.7
Nearest resistance

+3.49% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

2,776.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2,683.2
Nearest support

-1.65% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

2,639
Deeper support zone

-2.69% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

2,611.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

2,655.3 - 2,711.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,776.8, invalidation 2,650

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 25.1 / 23.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,598.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,713.4 / 2,707.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

27.9 (1.04%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.04%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,746.6 / 2,632.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,655.3 / 2,711.1Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,776.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,639Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.991Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 25.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,776.8, invalidation 2,650

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 25.1 / 23.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,598.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,713.4 / 2,707.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.991Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 25.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

27.9 (1.04%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.04%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,746.6 / 2,632.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,655.3 / 2,711.1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,776.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,639Range

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