Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish78%
4h Downside probability 78%Bearish

ETHUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,050 and stabilize above resistance 2,240.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2,240.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 19.4, MACD -5.093

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 30.21 (1.57%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 81,999.1Bearish
EMA 212,050Bearish
EMA 502,127Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 19.4 · MACD -5.093

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 30.21 · BB 8.70%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.3 · OBV -288.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
1,910.3 - 2,240.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.25% · 11.6 ATR above latest close

2,270.6
Nearest resistance

+16.67% · 10.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

2,240.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1,920.3
Nearest support

-0.52% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,910.3
Deeper support zone

-2.09% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

1,880.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,890.1 - 1,950.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,090.7, invalidation 1,981.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.5 / 9.6 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,820.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,015.2 / 2,177.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

30.21 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.70%

-21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,116.7 / 1,976.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,890.1 / 1,950.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,240.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,910.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.093Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-264.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-288.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,090.7, invalidation 1,981.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.5 / 9.6 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,820.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,015.2 / 2,177.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.093Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-264.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

30.21 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.70%

-21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,116.7 / 1,976.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,890.1 / 1,950.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-288.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,240.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,910.3Range

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