Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ETHUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,402.1 and stabilize above resistance 2,524.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2,524.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.8, MACD -4.706

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 26.67 (1.13%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 82,384.3Bearish
EMA 212,402.1Bearish
EMA 502,423.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD -4.706

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 26.67 · BB 6.54%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.4 · OBV -6.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
2,331.5 - 2,524.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.68% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

2,551
Nearest resistance

+6.55% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

2,524.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2,369.1
Nearest support

-1.59% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

2,331.5
Deeper support zone

-2.71% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

2,304.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

2,342.4 - 2,395.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,349, invalidation 2,413.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.2 / 5.6 / 39.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,290.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,409.1 / 2,428Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

26.67 (1.13%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.54%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,452.1 / 2,350.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,342.4 / 2,395.8Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,524.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,331.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.706Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-94.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,349, invalidation 2,413.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.2 / 5.6 / 39.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,290.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,409.1 / 2,428Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.706Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-94.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

26.67 (1.13%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.54%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,452.1 / 2,350.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,342.4 / 2,395.8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,524.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,331.5Range

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