Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

3 monthsBearish57%
3M Downside probability 57%Bearish

ETHUSD 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $2,265.8 and stabilize above resistance $4,955.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4,955.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1,418.3 (85.04%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$2,480.8Bearish
EMA 21$2,265.8Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.3 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1,418.3 · BB 144.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.7 · OBV -5.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$215.16 - $4,955.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+282.18% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$6,374.2
Nearest resistance

+197.14% · 2.3 ATR above · 25-bar high

$4,955.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,667.8
Nearest support

-87.1% · 1.0 ATR below · 25-bar low

$215.16
Deeper support zone

-172.14% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

-$1,203.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$249.57 - $3,086.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,955.9, invalidation $1,383.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3,184.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,418.3 (85.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 144.59%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5,731 / -$1,163.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$249.57 / $3,086.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$215.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.7 / 29.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,955.9, invalidation $1,383.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3,184.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.7 / 29.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,418.3 (85.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 144.59%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$5,731 / -$1,163.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$249.57 / $3,086.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$215.16Range

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