Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

12 hoursBearish78%
12h Downside probability 78%Bearish

ETHUSD 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,428.4 and stabilize above resistance 2,585.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2,585.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.5, MACD 1.080

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 54.66 (2.31%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 82,395.6Bearish
EMA 212,428.4Bearish
EMA 502,487Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.5 · MACD 1.080

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 54.66 · BB 5.51%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.0 · OBV -5.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
2,313.1 - 2,585.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.45% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

2,640.3
Nearest resistance

+9.14% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

2,585.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2,369.1
Nearest support

-2.37% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

2,313.1
Deeper support zone

-4.67% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

2,258.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

2,314.5 - 2,423.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,524.4, invalidation 2,373.4

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.4 / 18.4 / 34.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,211.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,440.1 / 2,544.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

54.66 (2.31%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.51%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,534 / 2,317.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,314.5 / 2,423.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,585.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,313.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.080Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.5 / 22.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,524.4, invalidation 2,373.4

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.4 / 18.4 / 34.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

2,211.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,440.1 / 2,544.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.080Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.5 / 22.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

54.66 (2.31%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.51%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,534 / 2,317.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

2,314.5 / 2,423.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,585.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

2,313.1Range

Related Forecasts