Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish67%
Monthly Downside probability 67%Bearish

ETHUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,511.9 and stabilize above resistance 4,955.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,955.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.9, MACD -80.981

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 795.57 (31.75%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 82,295.3Bullish
EMA 212,511.9Bearish
EMA 502,470.3Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.9 · MACD -80.981

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 795.57 · BB 123.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.2 · OBV -44.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
1,383.3 - 4,955.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+129.55% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

5,751.5
Nearest resistance

+97.8% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,955.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2,505.5
Nearest support

-44.79% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,383.3
Deeper support zone

-76.54% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

587.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,710 - 3,301.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,955.9, invalidation 1,505

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 16.0 / 24.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

696.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,812.3 / 2,917.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

795.57 (31.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 123.02%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,713.5 / 1,294.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,710 / 3,301.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,383.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-80.981Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 22.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,955.9, invalidation 1,505

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 16.0 / 24.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

696.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,812.3 / 2,917.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-80.981Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 22.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

795.57 (31.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 123.02%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,713.5 / 1,294.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,710 / 3,301.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,383.3Range

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