Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish59%
Monthly Downside probability 59%Bearish

ETHUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,516.9 and stabilize above resistance 4,955.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,955.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.5, MACD -182.814

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 880 (46.96%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 82,171.9Bearish
EMA 212,516.9Bearish
EMA 502,445.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.5 · MACD -182.814

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 880 · BB 122.96%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.4 · OBV -69.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
1,383.3 - 4,955.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+211.43% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

5,835.9
Nearest resistance

+164.47% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,955.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1,873.9
Nearest support

-26.18% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,383.3
Deeper support zone

-73.14% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

503.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

993.89 - 2,753.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,955.9, invalidation 1,742.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 18.2 / 21.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-514.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,940.2 / 2,917.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

880 (46.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 122.96%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,996.1 / 1,020.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

993.89 / 2,753.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,383.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-182.814Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.7 / 10.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-69.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,955.9, invalidation 1,742.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 18.2 / 21.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-514.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,940.2 / 2,917.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-182.814Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.7 / 10.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

880 (46.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 122.96%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,996.1 / 1,020.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

993.89 / 2,753.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-69.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,383.3Range

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