Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

ETHUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,514.7 and stabilize above resistance 4,955.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,955.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.5, MACD -49.181

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 724.32 (30.57%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 82,342.5Bullish
EMA 212,514.7Bearish
EMA 502,476.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.5 · MACD -49.181

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 724.32 · BB 121.87%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.1 · OBV -38.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
1,383.3 - 4,955.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+139.76% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

5,680.2
Nearest resistance

+109.19% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,955.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2,369.1
Nearest support

-41.61% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,383.3
Deeper support zone

-72.19% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

658.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,644.8 - 3,093.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,955.9, invalidation 1,505

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 9.0 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

777.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,662.8 / 2,980.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

724.32 (30.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 121.87%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,685.3 / 1,329.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,644.8 / 3,093.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,383.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-49.181Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 29.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,955.9, invalidation 1,505

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 9.0 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

777.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,662.8 / 2,980.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-49.181Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 29.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

724.32 (30.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 121.87%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,685.3 / 1,329.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,644.8 / 3,093.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,383.3Range

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