Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ETHUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,452 and stabilize above resistance 4,955.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,955.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.6, MACD -65.450

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 705.56 (36.74%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 82,228.6Bearish
EMA 212,452Bearish
EMA 502,457.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.6 · MACD -65.450

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 705.56 · BB 121.55%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.2 · OBV -53.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
1,383.3 - 4,955.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+194.83% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

5,661.5
Nearest resistance

+158.08% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,955.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1,920.3
Nearest support

-27.97% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,383.3
Deeper support zone

-64.71% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

677.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,214.7 - 2,625.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1,505, invalidation 2,807.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 9.2 / 31.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

557.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,662.8 / 3,013.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

705.56 (36.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 121.55%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,523.1 / 1,361Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,214.7 / 2,625.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,383.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-65.450Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.8 / 23.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-53.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1,505, invalidation 2,807.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 9.2 / 31.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

557.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,662.8 / 3,013.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-65.450Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.8 / 23.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

705.56 (36.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 121.55%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,523.1 / 1,361Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,214.7 / 2,625.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-53.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,383.3Range

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