Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish59%
Monthly Downside probability 59%Bearish

ETHUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $2,589.9 and stabilize above resistance $4,955.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4,955.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.8, MACD -190.493

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $930.37 (55.78%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$2,278.9Bearish
EMA 21$2,589.9Bearish
EMA 50$2,460.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD -190.493

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $930.37 · BB 118.60%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.2 · OBV -67.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,383.3 - $4,955.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+252.93% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$5,886.3
Nearest resistance

+197.14% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4,955.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,667.8
Nearest support

-17.06% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,383.3
Deeper support zone

-72.85% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$452.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$737.47 - $2,598.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,955.9, invalidation $1,742.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 23.6 / 20.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$653.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3,150.8 / $2,917.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$930.37 (55.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 118.60%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,194.2 / $974.37Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$737.47 / $2,598.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,383.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-190.493Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.7 / 15.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-67.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,955.9, invalidation $1,742.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 23.6 / 20.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$653.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$3,150.8 / $2,917.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-190.493Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.7 / 15.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$930.37 (55.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 118.60%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,194.2 / $974.37Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$737.47 / $2,598.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-67.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,955.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,383.3Range

Related Forecasts