Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ETHUSD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $2,145.7 and stabilize above resistance $3,914.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $3,914.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.0, MACD -13.390

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $222.1 (13.32%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,864.9Bearish
EMA 21$2,145.7Bearish
EMA 50$2,528.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.0 · MACD -13.390

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $222.1 · BB 42.13%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.1 · OBV -38.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,505 - $3,914.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+147.99% · 11.1 ATR above latest close

$4,136.2
Nearest resistance

+134.68% · 10.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$3,914.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,667.8
Nearest support

-9.76% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,505
Deeper support zone

-23.08% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$1,282.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,445.7 - $1,889.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $2,466.5, invalidation $1,505

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 14.0 / 29.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,077.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$2,209.8 / $3,230.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$222.1 (13.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.13%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$2,544.5 / $1,706.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,445.7 / $1,889.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$3,914.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,505Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.390Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 20.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-146.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $2,466.5, invalidation $1,505

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 14.0 / 29.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,077.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$2,209.8 / $3,230.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.390Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 20.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-146.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$222.1 (13.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.13%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$2,544.5 / $1,706.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,445.7 / $1,889.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$3,914.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,505Range

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