Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 weekBearish61%
Weekly Downside probability 61%Bearish

ETHUSD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,263.8 and stabilize above resistance 2,807.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2,807.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.0, MACD -25.768

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 263.87 (13.74%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 82,249.3Bearish
EMA 212,263.8Bearish
EMA 502,380Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.0 · MACD -25.768

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 263.87 · BB 57.23%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.8 · OBV -49.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
1,505 - 2,807.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+59.92% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

3,071
Nearest resistance

+46.18% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

2,807.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1,920.3
Nearest support

-21.63% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,505
Deeper support zone

-35.37% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

1,241.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,656.4 - 2,184.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,807.1, invalidation 1,510

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.5 / 24.3 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,263.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,257.4 / 2,491.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

263.87 (13.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.23%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,777.3 / 1,750.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,656.4 / 2,184.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,807.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,505Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-25.768Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.2 / 27.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,807.1, invalidation 1,510

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.5 / 24.3 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,263.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2,257.4 / 2,491.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-25.768Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.2 / 27.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

263.87 (13.74%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.23%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,777.3 / 1,750.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,656.4 / 2,184.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2,807.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,505Range

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