Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / US Dollar

ETHUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 weekBearish73%
Weekly Downside probability 73%Bearish

ETHUSD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2,017.8 and stabilize above resistance 3,405.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 3,405 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.2, MACD 40.007

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 197.44 (10.64%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 81,863.5Bearish
EMA 212,017.8Bearish
EMA 502,382.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.2 · MACD 40.007

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 197.44 · BB 47.31%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.5 · OBV 58.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
1,505 - 3,405

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+94.21% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

3,602.5
Nearest resistance

+83.57% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

3,405
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1,854.9
Nearest support

-18.86% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

1,505
Deeper support zone

-29.51% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

1,307.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1,657.5 - 2,052.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,466.5, invalidation 1,510

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.4 / 11.7 / 34.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,269.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1,865.1 / 3,230.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

197.44 (10.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.31%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,399.5 / 1,604.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,657.5 / 2,052.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

3,405Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,505Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

40.007Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.1 / 42.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

58.56%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.01xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 2,466.5, invalidation 1,510

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.4 / 11.7 / 34.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1,269.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1,865.1 / 3,230.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

40.007Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.1 / 42.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

197.44 (10.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.31%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2,399.5 / 1,604.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1,657.5 / 2,052.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

58.56%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.01xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

3,405Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1,505Range

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