US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish81%
4h Downside probability 81%Bearish

EL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $84.13 and stabilize above resistance $91.52.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $91.52 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.7, MACD -0.549

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.97 (2.45%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$82.53Bearish
EMA 21$84.13Bearish
EMA 50$84.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.7 · MACD -0.549

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.97 · BB 14.36%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 55.4 · OBV -27.68%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$79.87 - $91.52

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.58% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$93.49
Nearest resistance

+14.13% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$91.52
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$80.19
Nearest support

-0.41% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$79.87
Deeper support zone

-2.86% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$77.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.22 - $82.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $84.6, invalidation $82.74

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.0 / 3.7 / 38.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$76.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.3 / $84.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.97 (2.45%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.36%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.25 / $80.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.22 / $82.16Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$91.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.549Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $84.6, invalidation $82.74

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.0 / 3.7 / 38.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$76.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.3 / $84.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.549Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.97 (2.45%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.36%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.25 / $80.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.22 / $82.16Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$91.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.87Range

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