US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursRange50%
4h Range probability 100%Range

EL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $80.08 - $86.75 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 48.9, MACD 0.018

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.31 (1.59%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$82.28Bearish
EMA 21$82.28Bearish
EMA 50$82.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.9 · MACD 0.018

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.31 · BB 4.16%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.3 · OBV -3.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$80.08 - $86.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.21% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$88.06
Nearest resistance

+5.63% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$86.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$82.13
Nearest support

-2.5% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$80.08
Deeper support zone

-4.09% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$78.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$80.82 - $83.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.92, invalidation $82.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 21.7 / 13.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$82.35 / $81.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.31 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.16%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84.86 / $79.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.82 / $83.44Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.08Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.018Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.4 / 43.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

2.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.61xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.92, invalidation $82.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 21.7 / 13.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$82.35 / $81.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.018Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.4 / 43.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

2.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.31 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.16%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84.86 / $79.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.82 / $83.44Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.61xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.08Range

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