US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish73%
4h Upside probability 73%Bullish

EL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $101.39 and reclaim $109.82.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $101.39 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 61.5, MACD -0.129

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.39 (1.28%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$108.38Bullish
EMA 21$107.17Bullish
EMA 50$104.21Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.5 · MACD -0.129

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.39 · BB 7.84%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 87.5 · OBV 62.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$101.39 - $109.82

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.57% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$111.21
Nearest resistance

+1.29% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$109.82
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$108.42
Nearest support

-6.48% · 5.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.39
Deeper support zone

-7.76% · 6.1 ATR below latest close

$100
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$107.03 - $109.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $109.82, invalidation $107.03

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.7 / 40.5 / 22.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$105.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.04 / $101.38Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.39 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.84%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$109.48 / $105.07Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.03 / $109.81Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$109.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.129Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.8 / 81.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

55.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

87.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

62.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.53xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $109.82, invalidation $107.03

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.7 / 40.5 / 22.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$105.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.04 / $101.38Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.129Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.8 / 81.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

55.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.39 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.84%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$109.48 / $105.07Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.03 / $109.81Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

87.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

62.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.53xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$109.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.39Range

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