US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish58%
4h Upside probability 58%Bullish

EL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.91 and reclaim $96.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.91 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.9, MACD 0.303

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.16 (1.23%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$93.66Bullish
EMA 21$93.45Bullish
EMA 50$94.32Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.9 · MACD 0.303

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.16 · BB 6.41%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.6 · OBV -6.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$88.91 - $96.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.29% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$97.63
Nearest resistance

+2.06% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$96.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.53
Nearest support

-5.94% · 4.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.91
Deeper support zone

-7.17% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$87.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.36 - $95.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.91, invalidation $95.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.0 / 51.0 / 6.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$93.22 / $94.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.16 (1.23%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.41%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$95.46 / $91.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.36 / $95.69Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$96.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.303Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.3 / 71.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

105.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.91, invalidation $95.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.0 / 51.0 / 6.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$93.22 / $94.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.303Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.3 / 71.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

105.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.16 (1.23%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.41%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$95.46 / $91.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.36 / $95.69Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$96.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.91Range

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