US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish85%
4h Upside probability 85%Bullish

EL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $83.85 and reclaim $108.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $83.85 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 72.9, MACD -0.296

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.26 (1.19%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$105.36Bullish
EMA 21$102.68Bullish
EMA 50$97.26Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 72.9 · MACD -0.296

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.26 · BB 8.74%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 73.7 · OBV 12.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$83.85 - $108.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.44% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$109.64
Nearest resistance

+2.25% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106
Nearest support

-20.9% · 17.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$83.85
Deeper support zone

-22.09% · 18.5 ATR below latest close

$82.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$104.74 - $107.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105, invalidation $103.74

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.6 / 31.8 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.7 / $96.12Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.26 (1.19%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.74%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.48 / $100.35Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.74 / $107.26Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

72.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.296Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.0 / 73.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

93.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

73.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.99xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105, invalidation $103.74

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.6 / 31.8 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$103.7 / $96.12Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

72.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.296Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.0 / 73.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

93.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 9Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.26 (1.19%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.74%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.48 / $100.35Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.74 / $107.26Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

73.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.99xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.85Range

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