US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish82%
Monthly Upside probability 82%Bullish

EL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $48.37 and reclaim $159.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $48.37 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 48.0, MACD 4.420

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.69 (18.5%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$91.31Bullish
EMA 21$95.45Bullish
EMA 50$128.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.0 · MACD 4.420

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $17.69 · BB 68.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.2 · OBV 14.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$48.37 - $159.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+85.6% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$177.44
Nearest resistance

+67.1% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$159.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$95.6
Nearest support

-49.4% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$48.37
Deeper support zone

-67.9% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$30.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.91 - $113.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 28.6 / 15.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.47 / $166.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.69 (18.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 68.28%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.82 / $55.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.91 / $113.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$159.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.420Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.0 / 50.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

71.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.34xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 28.6 / 15.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.47 / $166.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.420Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.0 / 50.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

71.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.69 (18.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 68.28%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.82 / $55.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.91 / $113.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.34xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$159.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

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