US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 monthRange49%
Monthly Range probability 98%Range

EL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $48.37 - $159.75 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.8, MACD 4.190

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.52 (18.54%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$91.54Bullish
EMA 21$95.14Bearish
EMA 50$127.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD 4.190

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $17.52 · BB 65.75%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.4 · OBV 29.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$48.37 - $159.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+87.54% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$177.27
Nearest resistance

+69% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$159.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.53
Nearest support

-48.83% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$48.37
Deeper support zone

-67.37% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$30.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77 - $112.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.38, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 28.8 / 17.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$35.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.47 / $166.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.52 (18.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.75%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$131.86 / $56.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77 / $112.05Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$159.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.190Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.1 / 54.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

35.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.83%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.38, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 28.8 / 17.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$35.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.47 / $166.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.190Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.1 / 54.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

35.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.52 (18.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.75%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$131.86 / $56.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77 / $112.05Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.83%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$159.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

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