US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish87%
1h Downside probability 87%Bearish

EL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $96.4 and stabilize above resistance $98.93.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $98.93 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.0, MACD -0.099

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6894 (0.72%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$95.88Bearish
EMA 21$96.4Bearish
EMA 50$97.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.0 · MACD -0.099

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6894 · BB 2.76%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.8 · OBV -1.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$94.45 - $98.93

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.2% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$99.62
Nearest resistance

+3.48% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$98.93
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$95.6
Nearest support

-1.21% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$94.45
Deeper support zone

-1.93% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$93.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$94.91 - $96.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.07, invalidation $96.56

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 14.9 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$93.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.13 / $96.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6894 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.76%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$97.88 / $94.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.91 / $96.29Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$98.93Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.099Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.7 / 28.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.82xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.07, invalidation $96.56

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 14.9 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$93.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.13 / $96.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.099Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.7 / 28.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6894 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.76%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$97.88 / $94.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.91 / $96.29Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.82xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$98.93Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.45Range

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