US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

EL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $82.24 and stabilize above resistance $85.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $85.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.9, MACD -0.097

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7932 (0.99%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$81.28Bearish
EMA 21$82.24Bearish
EMA 50$83.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.9 · MACD -0.097

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7932 · BB 5.59%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.4 · OBV -8.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$79.87 - $85.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.16% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$86.73
Nearest resistance

+7.17% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$85.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$80.19
Nearest support

-0.41% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$79.87
Deeper support zone

-1.39% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$79.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$79.4 - $80.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.87, invalidation $82.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 23.1 / 49.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$77.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$81.72 / $84.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7932 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.59%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.93 / $80.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$79.4 / $80.98Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$85.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.097Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.87, invalidation $82.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 23.1 / 49.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$77.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$81.72 / $84.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.097Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7932 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.59%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.93 / $80.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$79.4 / $80.98Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$85.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.87Range

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