US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

EL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $82.39 and stabilize above resistance $84.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $84.43 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD -0.064

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5703 (0.69%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$82.34Bearish
EMA 21$82.39Bearish
EMA 50$82.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD -0.064

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5703 · BB 1.38%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 26.0 · OBV -10.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$80.51 - $84.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.49% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$85
Nearest resistance

+2.8% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$84.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$82.13
Nearest support

-1.97% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$80.51
Deeper support zone

-2.67% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$79.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$81.56 - $82.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.92, invalidation $82.91

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 10.6 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$80.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$82.31 / $82.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5703 (0.69%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.38%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.62 / $81.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.56 / $82.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.064Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.5 / 64.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.48xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.92, invalidation $82.91

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 10.6 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$80.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$82.31 / $82.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.064Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.5 / 64.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5703 (0.69%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.38%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.62 / $81.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.56 / $82.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.48xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$80.51Range

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