US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 weekRange52%
Weekly Range probability 96%Range

EL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $66.22 - $121.64 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.9, MACD 0.251

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.84 (9.55%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$83.41Bearish
EMA 21$85.87Bearish
EMA 50$88.55Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.9 · MACD 0.251

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.84 · BB 32.32%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 64.5 · OBV 5.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$66.22 - $121.64

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+57.65% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$129.48
Nearest resistance

+48.1% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$121.64
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$82.13
Nearest support

-19.37% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$66.22
Deeper support zone

-28.92% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$58.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$74.29 - $89.97

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.54, invalidation $76.83

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.5 / 22.9 / 10.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.87 / $93.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.84 (9.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.32%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.34 / $70Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.29 / $89.97Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$121.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$66.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.251Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.1 / 59.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-4.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.69%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.54, invalidation $76.83

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.5 / 22.9 / 10.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.87 / $93.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.251Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.1 / 59.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-4.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.84 (9.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.32%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.34 / $70Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.29 / $89.97Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.69%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$121.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$66.22Range

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