US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

EL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $86.89 and stabilize above resistance $121.56.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $121.56 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.5, MACD 0.258

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.89 (11.03%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$84.2Bearish
EMA 21$86.89Bearish
EMA 50$89.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.5 · MACD 0.258

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.89 · BB 56.96%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.1 · OBV 8.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$66.33 - $121.56

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+61.91% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$130.45
Nearest resistance

+50.88% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$121.56
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$80.57
Nearest support

-17.67% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$66.33
Deeper support zone

-28.71% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$57.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$71.68 - $89.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.22, invalidation $75.28

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 19.9 / 20.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.85 / $93.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.89 (11.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 56.96%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.62 / $70.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.68 / $89.46Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$121.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$66.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.258Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.0 / 68.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.22, invalidation $75.28

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 19.9 / 20.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.85 / $93.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.258Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.0 / 68.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.89 (11.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 56.96%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.62 / $70.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.68 / $89.46Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$121.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$66.33Range

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