US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish78%
Daily Downside probability 78%Bearish

COST 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $950.27 and stabilize above resistance $987.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $987.55 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.1, MACD -0.755

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $14.98 (1.6%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$950.04Bearish
EMA 21$950.27Bearish
EMA 50$954.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.1 · MACD -0.755

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.98 · BB 3.64%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 66.8 · OBV -2.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$910.5 - $987.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.08% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$1,002.5
Nearest resistance

+5.49% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$987.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$936.2
Nearest support

-2.75% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$910.5
Deeper support zone

-4.34% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$895.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$921.22 - $951.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $925.77, invalidation $969.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 33.4 / 30.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$896.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$952.2 / $951.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$14.98 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.64%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$981.88 / $918.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$921.22 / $951.18Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$987.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$910.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.755Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.7 / 47.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $925.77, invalidation $969.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 33.4 / 30.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$896.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$952.2 / $951.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.755Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.7 / 47.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$14.98 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.64%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$981.88 / $918.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$921.22 / $951.18Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$987.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$910.5Range

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