US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

COST 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $969.62 and stabilize above resistance $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,096.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.0, MACD -0.920

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $16.57 (1.74%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$955.94Bearish
EMA 21$969.62Bearish
EMA 50$983.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.0 · MACD -0.920

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.57 · BB 5.51%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.0 · OBV -5.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$936.64 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.11% · 9.8 ATR above latest close

$1,113
Nearest resistance

+15.37% · 8.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$950.4
Nearest support

-1.45% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$936.64
Deeper support zone

-3.19% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$920.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$933.83 - $966.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $938.72, invalidation $967.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 19.1 / 23.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$903.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$983.24 / $1,016.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$16.57 (1.74%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.51%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,002.4 / $934.96Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$933.83 / $966.96Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$936.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.920Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.7 / 17.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $938.72, invalidation $967.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 19.1 / 23.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$903.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$983.24 / $1,016.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.920Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.7 / 17.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$16.57 (1.74%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.51%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,002.4 / $934.96Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$933.83 / $966.96Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$936.64Range

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