US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

COST 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $920.96 and stabilize above resistance $978.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $978.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.9, MACD -3.379

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $12.92 (1.45%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$905.05Bearish
EMA 21$920.96Bearish
EMA 50$936.86Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.9 · MACD -3.379

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.92 · BB 9.31%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 17.2 · OBV -72.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$892.67 - $978.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.95% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$991.62
Nearest resistance

+9.51% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$978.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$893.74
Nearest support

-0.12% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$892.67
Deeper support zone

-1.57% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$879.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$880.82 - $906.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $898.43, invalidation $921.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.6 / 12.4 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$861.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$923.02 / $940.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.92 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.31%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$944.3 / $895.88Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$880.82 / $906.66Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$978.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$892.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.379Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.8 / 2.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-72.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $898.43, invalidation $921.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.6 / 12.4 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$861.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$923.02 / $940.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.379Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.8 / 2.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.92 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.31%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$944.3 / $895.88Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$880.82 / $906.66Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-72.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$978.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$892.67Range

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