US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish58%
Daily Downside probability 58%Bearish

COST 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $943.05 and stabilize above resistance $997.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $997.41 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.2, MACD 2.537

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $20.7 (2.2%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$934.84Bullish
EMA 21$943.05Bearish
EMA 50$962.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.2 · MACD 2.537

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $20.7 · BB 6.38%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 51.9 · OBV 11.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$907.21 - $997.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.21% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$1,018.1
Nearest resistance

+6.01% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$997.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$940.87
Nearest support

-3.58% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$907.21
Deeper support zone

-5.78% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$886.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$920.17 - $961.57

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $969, invalidation $910.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 26.9 / 24.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$882.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$944.08 / $1,001.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$20.7 (2.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.38%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$986.46 / $897.94Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$920.17 / $961.57Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$997.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$907.21Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.537Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.5 / 56.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

28.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $969, invalidation $910.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 26.9 / 24.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$882.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$944.08 / $1,001.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.537Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.5 / 56.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

28.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$20.7 (2.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.38%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$986.46 / $897.94Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$920.17 / $961.57Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$997.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$907.21Range

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