US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish74%
12h Downside probability 74%Bearish

EL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $84.15 and stabilize above resistance $92.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.7, MACD -0.842

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.87 (3.58%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$83.19Bearish
EMA 21$84.15Bearish
EMA 50$84.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.7 · MACD -0.842

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.87 · BB 12.75%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.0 · OBV -18.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$75.28 - $92.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.58% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$95.09
Nearest resistance

+15% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$80.19
Nearest support

-6.13% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$75.28
Deeper support zone

-9.71% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$72.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.32 - $83.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.52, invalidation $82.43

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 19.6 / 30.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.9 / $83.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.87 (3.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.75%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.73 / $78.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.32 / $83.06Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.842Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.8 / 7.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.52, invalidation $82.43

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 19.6 / 30.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.9 / $83.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.842Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.8 / 7.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.87 (3.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.75%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.73 / $78.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.32 / $83.06Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.28Range

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