US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish82%
12h Downside probability 82%Bearish

EL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $98.25 and stabilize above resistance $108.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $108.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.3, MACD -0.609

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.81 (1.89%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$96.91Bearish
EMA 21$98.25Bearish
EMA 50$96.68Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.3 · MACD -0.609

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.81 · BB 9.93%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 11.3 · OBV -6.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$94.45 - $108.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.26% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$110.19
Nearest resistance

+13.37% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$95.6
Nearest support

-1.21% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$94.45
Deeper support zone

-3.1% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$92.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.79 - $97.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.52, invalidation $98.93

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.2 / 15.4 / 42.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.81 / $96.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.81 (1.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.93%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.36 / $95.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.79 / $97.41Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.609Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 9.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.64xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.52, invalidation $98.93

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.2 / 15.4 / 42.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$98.81 / $96.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.609Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 9.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.81 (1.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.93%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.36 / $95.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.79 / $97.41Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.64xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.45Range

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