US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish83%
12h Downside probability 83%Bearish

EL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $82.32 and stabilize above resistance $86.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $86.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.5, MACD 0.081

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.23 (2.71%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$82.15Bearish
EMA 21$82.32Bearish
EMA 50$82.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.5 · MACD 0.081

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.23 · BB 5.56%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV -3.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$76.83 - $86.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.34% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$88.98
Nearest resistance

+5.63% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$86.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$82.13
Nearest support

-6.45% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$76.83
Deeper support zone

-9.17% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$74.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$79.9 - $84.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.08, invalidation $84.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 15.6 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$82.09 / $84.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.23 (2.71%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.56%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$86.62 / $77.99Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$79.9 / $84.36Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.081Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.7 / 35.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.08, invalidation $84.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 15.6 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$82.09 / $84.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.081Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.7 / 35.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.23 (2.71%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.56%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$86.62 / $77.99Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$79.9 / $84.36Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.83Range

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