US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish72%
3M Downside probability 72%Bearish

EL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $145.68 and stabilize above resistance $374.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $374.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 41.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $38.13 (46.42%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$91.89Bearish
EMA 21$145.68Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $38.13 · BB 217.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 23.5 · OBV -100.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$48.37 - $374.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+402.04% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$412.33
Nearest resistance

+355.62% · 7.7 ATR above · 29-bar high

$374.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$82.13
Nearest support

-41.11% · 0.9 ATR below · 29-bar low

$48.37
Deeper support zone

-87.53% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$10.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$44 - $120.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.4 / 6.7 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$7.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.13 (46.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 217.98%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$201.22 / $79.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$44 / $120.26Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.9 / 13.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-100.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.4 / 6.7 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$7.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.9 / 13.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.13 (46.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 217.98%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$201.22 / $79.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$44 / $120.26Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-100.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

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