US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish75%
3M Downside probability 75%Bearish

EL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $141.94 and stabilize above resistance $374.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $374.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 43.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $34 (35.83%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$94.39Bullish
EMA 21$141.94Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.6 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $34 · BB 194.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.3 · OBV -60.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$48.37 - $374.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+330.27% · 9.2 ATR above latest close

$408.2
Nearest resistance

+294.43% · 8.2 ATR above · 30-bar high

$374.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.87
Nearest support

-49.01% · 1.4 ATR below · 30-bar low

$48.37
Deeper support zone

-84.85% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$14.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$60.87 - $128.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.2 / 10.8 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34 (35.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 194.65%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.95 / $81.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60.87 / $128.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.9 / 21.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.2 / 10.8 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.9 / 21.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34 (35.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 194.65%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.95 / $81.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60.87 / $128.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

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