US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish69%
3M Downside probability 69%Bearish

EL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $147.87 and stabilize above resistance $374.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $374.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $39.64 (37.32%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$97.24Bullish
EMA 21$147.87Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $39.64 · BB 214.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.5 · OBV -83.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$48.37 - $374.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+289.64% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$413.84
Nearest resistance

+252.32% · 6.8 ATR above · 29-bar high

$374.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.21
Nearest support

-54.46% · 1.5 ATR below · 29-bar low

$48.37
Deeper support zone

-91.78% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$8.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$66.57 - $145.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.7 / 9.3 / 40.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.64 (37.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 214.04%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$207.75 / $78.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$66.57 / $145.85Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 16.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-83.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.7 / 9.3 / 40.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 16.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.64 (37.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 214.04%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$207.75 / $78.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$66.57 / $145.85Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-83.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

Related Forecasts