US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish75%
3M Downside probability 75%Bearish

EL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $146.91 and stabilize above resistance $374.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $374.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 43.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $39.64 (41.46%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$94.88Bullish
EMA 21$146.91Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.7 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $39.64 · BB 215.67%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.0 · OBV -77.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$48.37 - $374.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+332.89% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$413.84
Nearest resistance

+291.42% · 7.0 ATR above · 29-bar high

$374.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$95.6
Nearest support

-49.4% · 1.2 ATR below · 29-bar low

$48.37
Deeper support zone

-90.87% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$8.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$55.96 - $135.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.7 / 9.3 / 40.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.64 (41.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 215.67%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.74 / $77.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$55.96 / $135.24Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.3 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.7 / 9.3 / 40.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.3 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.64 (41.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 215.67%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.74 / $77.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$55.96 / $135.24Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

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