US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish66%
3M Downside probability 66%Bearish

EL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $143.17 and stabilize above resistance $374.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $374.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $35.05 (32.35%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$97.39Bullish
EMA 21$143.17Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $35.05 · BB 192.61%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.5 · OBV -49.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$48.37 - $374.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+277.71% · 8.6 ATR above latest close

$409.25
Nearest resistance

+245.36% · 7.6 ATR above · 30-bar high

$374.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$108.35
Nearest support

-55.36% · 1.7 ATR below · 30-bar low

$48.37
Deeper support zone

-87.7% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$13.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$73.3 - $143.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.1 / 10.8 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$35.05 (32.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 192.61%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$197.18 / $79.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.3 / $143.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.9 / 24.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.64, invalidation $66.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.1 / 10.8 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.14 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.9 / 24.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$35.05 (32.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 192.61%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$197.18 / $79.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.3 / $143.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$374.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.37Range

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