US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish75%
3M Downside probability 75%Bearish

EL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $169.94 and stabilize above resistance $373.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $373.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $40.99 (50.88%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$95.35Bearish
EMA 21$169.94Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.8 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $40.99 · BB 212.69%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.1 · OBV -199.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$48.63 - $373.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+415.01% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$414.94
Nearest resistance

+364.13% · 7.2 ATR above · 24-bar high

$373.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$80.57
Nearest support

-39.65% · 0.8 ATR below · 24-bar low

$48.63
Deeper support zone

-90.52% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$7.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$39.58 - $121.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $48.63, invalidation $121.56

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$18.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.99 (50.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 212.69%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.1 / $99.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$39.58 / $121.56Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$373.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.6 / 15.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-199.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $48.63, invalidation $121.56

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$18.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.6 / 15.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.99 (50.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 212.69%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.1 / $99.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$39.58 / $121.56Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-199.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$373.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$48.63Range

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