US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish76%
Daily Downside probability 76%Bearish

EL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $83.81 and stabilize above resistance $92.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.6, MACD -0.867

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.9 (3.6%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$82.6Bearish
EMA 21$83.81Bearish
EMA 50$83.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.6 · MACD -0.867

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.9 · BB 12.78%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 51.9 · OBV 1.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$75.28 - $92.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.06% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$95.12
Nearest resistance

+14.46% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$80.57
Nearest support

-6.57% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$75.28
Deeper support zone

-10.18% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$72.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.67 - $83.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.52, invalidation $82.43

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.4 / 15.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.89 / $83.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.9 (3.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.78%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.5 / $78.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.67 / $83.47Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.867Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.5 / 5.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.52, invalidation $82.43

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.4 / 15.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.89 / $83.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.867Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.5 / 5.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.9 (3.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.78%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.5 / $78.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.67 / $83.47Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.28Range

Related Forecasts