US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish59%
Daily Downside probability 59%Bearish

EL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $97.22 and stabilize above resistance $108.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $108.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.1, MACD -1.314

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.77 (2.9%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$97.28Bearish
EMA 21$97.22Bearish
EMA 50$93.19Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD -1.314

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.77 · BB 13.68%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.0 · OBV 5.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$83.13 - $108.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.27% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$111.15
Nearest resistance

+13.37% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$95.6
Nearest support

-13.05% · 4.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$83.13
Deeper support zone

-15.95% · 5.5 ATR below latest close

$80.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$92.83 - $98.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.92, invalidation $97.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.2 / 6.7 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.85 / $93.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.77 (2.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.68%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.41 / $92.28Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.83 / $98.37Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.314Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.9 / 6.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.04%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.92, invalidation $97.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.2 / 6.7 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.85 / $93.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.314Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.9 / 6.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.77 (2.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.68%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.41 / $92.28Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.83 / $98.37Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.04%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.13Range

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