US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish87%
Daily Downside probability 87%Bearish

EL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $82.78 and stabilize above resistance $91.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $91.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.7, MACD -0.020

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.63 (3.2%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$82.35Bearish
EMA 21$82.78Bearish
EMA 50$83.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.7 · MACD -0.020

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.63 · BB 7.46%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.9 · OBV -4.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$76.83 - $91.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.65% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$94.16
Nearest resistance

+11.45% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$91.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$82.13
Nearest support

-6.45% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$76.83
Deeper support zone

-9.65% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$74.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$79.5 - $84.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.19, invalidation $84.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 28.7 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$83.25 / $83.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.63 (3.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.46%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.76 / $77.74Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$79.5 / $84.76Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$91.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.020Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.0 / 53.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-14.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.19, invalidation $84.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 28.7 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$83.25 / $83.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.020Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.0 / 53.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-14.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.63 (3.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.46%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.76 / $77.74Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$79.5 / $84.76Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$91.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.83Range

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