US stock / ETF

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.

EL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish78%
Daily Downside probability 78%Bearish

EL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $94.77 and stabilize above resistance $108.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $108.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.6, MACD -0.377

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.94 (3.12%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$93.66Bullish
EMA 21$94.77Bearish
EMA 50$93.58Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.6 · MACD -0.377

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.94 · BB 9.73%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.7 · OBV -9.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$88.68 - $108.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.23% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$111.32
Nearest resistance

+15.11% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.16
Nearest support

-5.81% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.68
Deeper support zone

-8.93% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$85.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$91.22 - $97.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.68, invalidation $96.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 29.6 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$94.69 / $94.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.94 (3.12%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.73%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.51 / $88.96Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.22 / $97.09Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.377Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.7 / 43.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.68, invalidation $96.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 29.6 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$94.69 / $94.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.377Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.7 / 43.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.94 (3.12%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.73%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.51 / $88.96Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.22 / $97.09Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.68Range

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