US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

CVNA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $72.9 and stabilize above resistance $78.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $78.48 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.0, MACD -0.515

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.58 (2.23%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$72.2Bearish
EMA 21$72.9Bearish
EMA 50$71.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.0 · MACD -0.515

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.58 · BB 9.74%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.7 · OBV -4.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$70.29 - $78.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.1% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$80.06
Nearest resistance

+10.86% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$78.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$70.79
Nearest support

-0.71% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$70.29
Deeper support zone

-2.94% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$68.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$69.21 - $72.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $74.5, invalidation $71.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 9.2 / 50.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$73.07 / $68.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.58 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.74%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$75.71 / $70.09Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.21 / $72.37Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$70.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.515Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.4 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.61xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $74.5, invalidation $71.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 9.2 / 50.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$73.07 / $68.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.515Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.4 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.58 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.74%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$75.71 / $70.09Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.21 / $72.37Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.61xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$70.29Range

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