US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish79%
4h Downside probability 79%Bearish

CVNA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $72.13 and stabilize above resistance $76.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $76.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.9, MACD -0.493

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.28 (1.84%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$70.74Bearish
EMA 21$72.13Bearish
EMA 50$72.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.9 · MACD -0.493

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.28 · BB 10.73%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 14.3 · OBV 2.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$69.16 - $76.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.99% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$77.72
Nearest resistance

+10.14% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$76.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$69.4
Nearest support

-0.35% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$69.16
Deeper support zone

-2.19% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$67.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$68.12 - $70.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $70.07, invalidation $71.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 15.0 / 23.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$72.12 / $72.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.28 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.73%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$74.52 / $69.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$68.12 / $70.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.493Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.3 / 8.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $70.07, invalidation $71.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 15.0 / 23.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$72.12 / $72.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.493Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.3 / 8.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.28 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.73%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$74.52 / $69.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$68.12 / $70.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.16Range

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