US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

CVNA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $58.97 and stabilize above resistance $62.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $62.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.3, MACD -0.128

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9100 (1.57%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$58.29Bearish
EMA 21$58.97Bearish
EMA 50$60.16Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.3 · MACD -0.128

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9100 · BB 6.36%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.7 · OBV -18.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$56.28 - $62.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.09% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$63.13
Nearest resistance

+7.52% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$62.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$57.87
Nearest support

-2.76% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$56.28
Deeper support zone

-4.33% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$55.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$56.96 - $58.78

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.4, invalidation $59.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 12.1 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$58.69 / $60.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9100 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.36%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$60.85 / $57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56.96 / $58.78Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$62.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$56.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.128Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.9 / 23.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.4, invalidation $59.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 12.1 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$58.69 / $60.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.128Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.9 / 23.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9100 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.36%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$60.85 / $57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56.96 / $58.78Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$62.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$56.28Range

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