US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish59%
12h Downside probability 59%Bearish

CVNA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $67.67 and stabilize above resistance $81.91.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $81.91 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.3, MACD 0.041

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.1 (6.11%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$66.54Bullish
EMA 21$67.67Bearish
EMA 50$69.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.3 · MACD 0.041

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.1 · BB 17.89%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.5 · OBV 30.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$61.04 - $81.91

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.12% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$86.01
Nearest resistance

+22.02% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$81.91
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$67.13
Nearest support

-9.07% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$61.04
Deeper support zone

-15.18% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$56.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$63.03 - $71.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $62.41, invalidation $69.14

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 23.9 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$67.49 / $73.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.1 (6.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.89%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$75.85 / $59.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$63.03 / $71.23Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.041Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.4 / 39.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

30.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $62.41, invalidation $69.14

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 23.9 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$67.49 / $73.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.041Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.4 / 39.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.1 (6.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.89%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$75.85 / $59.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$63.03 / $71.23Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

30.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.04Range

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