US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish65%
12h Downside probability 65%Bearish

CVNA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $64.45 and stabilize above resistance $73.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $73.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 44.1, MACD 0.282

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.03 (3.18%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$63.38Bullish
EMA 21$64.45Bearish
EMA 50$66.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.1 · MACD 0.282

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.03 · BB 10.42%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.0 · OBV 5.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$59.1 - $73.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.75% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$75.73
Nearest resistance

+15.57% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$73.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.77
Nearest support

-7.32% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$59.1
Deeper support zone

-10.51% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$57.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$61.74 - $65.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $59.1, invalidation $64.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 22.8 / 36.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$63.36 / $67.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.03 (3.18%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.42%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68.97 / $59.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.74 / $65.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$73.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.282Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.5 / 65.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.09xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $59.1, invalidation $64.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 22.8 / 36.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$63.36 / $67.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.282Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.5 / 65.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.03 (3.18%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.42%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68.97 / $59.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.74 / $65.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.09xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$73.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59.1Range

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