US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish63%
Weekly Downside probability 63%Bearish

CVNA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $67.28 and stabilize above resistance $97.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $97.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.4, MACD -0.617

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.82 (13.98%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$64.52Bearish
EMA 21$67.28Bearish
EMA 50$67.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.4 · MACD -0.617

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.82 · BB 35.64%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.6 · OBV 2.68%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$54.46 - $97.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+68.43% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$106.2
Nearest resistance

+54.45% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$97.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.05
Nearest support

-13.62% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.46
Deeper support zone

-27.61% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$45.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$54.23 - $71.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $72.77, invalidation $61.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 8.6 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$67.03 / $75.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.82 (13.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.64%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84.74 / $49.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.23 / $71.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$97.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.617Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.8 / 18.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.68%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $72.77, invalidation $61.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 8.6 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$67.03 / $75.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.617Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.8 / 18.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.82 (13.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.64%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84.74 / $49.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.23 / $71.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.68%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$97.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.46Range

Related Forecasts