US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish81%
Weekly Downside probability 81%Bearish

CVNA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $69.83 and stabilize above resistance $97.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $97.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.4, MACD -0.724

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.67 (13.37%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$67.71Bearish
EMA 21$69.83Bearish
EMA 50$68.04Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.4 · MACD -0.724

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.67 · BB 37.68%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.5 · OBV -10.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$54.53 - $97.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+63.46% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$105.96
Nearest resistance

+50.09% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$97.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$64.82
Nearest support

-15.87% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.53
Deeper support zone

-29.25% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$45.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$56.15 - $73.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $83.41, invalidation $61.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 22.1 / 24.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.07 / $75.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.67 (13.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.68%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$86.49 / $53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56.15 / $73.49Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$97.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.724Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 36.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-34.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $83.41, invalidation $61.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 22.1 / 24.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.07 / $75.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.724Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 36.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-34.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.67 (13.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.68%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$86.49 / $53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56.15 / $73.49Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$97.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.53Range

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