US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish81%
Weekly Downside probability 81%Bearish

CVNA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $68.43 and stabilize above resistance $83.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD -0.290

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.16 (12.79%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$67.35Bearish
EMA 21$68.43Bearish
EMA 50$68Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD -0.290

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.16 · BB 24.87%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.5 · OBV -0.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$54.46 - $83.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+44.47% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$92.13
Nearest resistance

+31.68% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.77
Nearest support

-14.6% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.46
Deeper support zone

-27.39% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$46.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$55.61 - $71.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.8, invalidation $56.12

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.7 / 10.6 / 22.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$68.94 / $75.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.16 (12.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.87%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84.81 / $51.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$55.61 / $71.93Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.290Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.0 / 41.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.02xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.8, invalidation $56.12

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.7 / 10.6 / 22.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$68.94 / $75.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.290Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.0 / 41.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.16 (12.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.87%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84.81 / $51.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$55.61 / $71.93Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.02xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.46Range

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