US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish89%
Weekly Downside probability 89%Bearish

CVNA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $66.32 and stabilize above resistance $83.91.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.91 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.1, MACD -1.070

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.82 (13.51%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$63.29Bearish
EMA 21$66.32Bearish
EMA 50$67.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.1 · MACD -1.070

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.82 · BB 29.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.2 · OBV -1.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$54.46 - $83.91

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+58.5% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$91.73
Nearest resistance

+45% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.91
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$57.87
Nearest support

-5.89% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.46
Deeper support zone

-19.4% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$46.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$50.05 - $65.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.8, invalidation $56.12

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 7.9 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$68.28 / $75.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.82 (13.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.44%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.16 / $52.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.05 / $65.69Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.070Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-157.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.8, invalidation $56.12

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 7.9 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$68.28 / $75.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.070Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-157.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.82 (13.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.44%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.16 / $52.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.05 / $65.69Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.46Range

Related Forecasts