US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish55%
Monthly Upside probability 55%Bullish

CVNA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $5.02 and reclaim $97.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $5.02 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 53.1, MACD -2.686

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.06 (27.06%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$67.46Bearish
EMA 21$61.7Bullish
EMA 50$48.6Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.1 · MACD -2.686

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.06 · BB 70.72%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.2 · OBV -5.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$5.02 - $97.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+81.51% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$114.44
Nearest resistance

+54.45% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$97.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.05
Nearest support

-92.04% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5.02
Deeper support zone

-119.1% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

-$12.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$45.99 - $80.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $97.38, invalidation $54.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 22.9 / 16.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$68.23 / $49.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.06 (27.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.72%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$97.73 / $27.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$45.99 / $80.11Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$97.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.686Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.0 / 24.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-80.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.01xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $97.38, invalidation $54.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 22.9 / 16.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$68.23 / $49.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.686Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.0 / 24.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-80.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.06 (27.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.72%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$97.73 / $27.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$45.99 / $80.11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.01xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$97.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5.02Range

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