US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish58%
1h Downside probability 58%Bearish

CVNA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $70.39 and stabilize above resistance $72.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $72.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.9, MACD -0.249

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6942 (0.99%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$70.16Bearish
EMA 21$70.39Bearish
EMA 50$70.24Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.9 · MACD -0.249

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6942 · BB 4.64%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 37.0 · OBV 4.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$68.41 - $72.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.48% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$72.92
Nearest resistance

+3.48% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$72.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$69.8
Nearest support

-1.99% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$68.41
Deeper support zone

-2.99% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$67.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$69.11 - $70.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $72.23, invalidation $69.28

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 18.8 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.53 / $68.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6942 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.64%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$71.92 / $68.87Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.11 / $70.49Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$72.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$68.41Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.249Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.6 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $72.23, invalidation $69.28

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 18.8 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.53 / $68.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.249Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.6 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6942 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.64%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$71.92 / $68.87Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.11 / $70.49Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$72.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$68.41Range

Related Forecasts