US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish91%
1h Downside probability 91%Bearish

CVNA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $70.75 and stabilize above resistance $74.52.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $74.52 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.7, MACD -0.012

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6645 (0.96%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$70.04Bearish
EMA 21$70.75Bearish
EMA 50$71.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.7 · MACD -0.012

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6645 · BB 3.00%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 13.5 · OBV -3.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$69.16 - $74.52

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.34% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$75.18
Nearest resistance

+7.38% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$74.52
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$69.4
Nearest support

-0.35% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$69.16
Deeper support zone

-1.3% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$68.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$68.74 - $70.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $69.47, invalidation $71.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.9 / 24.4 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.98 / $72.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6645 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.00%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$72.4 / $68.99Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$68.74 / $70.06Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$74.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.012Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 9.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-197.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.60xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $69.47, invalidation $71.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.9 / 24.4 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.98 / $72.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.012Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 9.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-197.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6645 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.00%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$72.4 / $68.99Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$68.74 / $70.06Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.60xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$74.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.16Range

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