US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish71%
1h Downside probability 71%Bearish

CVNA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $72.38 and stabilize above resistance $74.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $74.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.4, MACD -0.233

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6362 (0.9%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$71.56Bearish
EMA 21$72.38Bearish
EMA 50$73.06Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.4 · MACD -0.233

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6362 · BB 5.90%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.3 · OBV -3.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$70.29 - $74.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.14% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$75.14
Nearest resistance

+5.24% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$74.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$70.79
Nearest support

-0.71% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$70.29
Deeper support zone

-1.6% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$69.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$70.15 - $71.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $73.77, invalidation $71.73

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 12.4 / 47.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$72.3 / $73.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6362 (0.9%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.90%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$73.97 / $70.71Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.15 / $71.43Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$74.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$70.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.233Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.7 / 3.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.47xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $73.77, invalidation $71.73

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 12.4 / 47.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$72.3 / $73.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.233Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.7 / 3.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6362 (0.9%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.90%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$73.97 / $70.71Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.15 / $71.43Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.47xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$74.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$70.29Range

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