US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish89%
4h Downside probability 89%Bearish

COST 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $952.26 and stabilize above resistance $978.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $978.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.5, MACD -2.871

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.38 (0.57%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$947.08Bearish
EMA 21$952.26Bearish
EMA 50$952.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.5 · MACD -2.871

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.38 · BB 4.60%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.6 · OBV -15.92%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$925.77 - $978.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.11% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$984.08
Nearest resistance

+4.54% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$978.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$936.2
Nearest support

-1.11% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$925.77
Deeper support zone

-1.69% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$920.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$930.82 - $941.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $964.56, invalidation $933.24

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 6.9 / 47.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$918.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$949.1 / $952.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.38 (0.57%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.60%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$963.46 / $940.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$930.82 / $941.58Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$978.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$925.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.871Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 6.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.14xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $964.56, invalidation $933.24

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 6.9 / 47.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$918.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$949.1 / $952.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.871Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 6.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.38 (0.57%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.60%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$963.46 / $940.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$930.82 / $941.58Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.14xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$978.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$925.77Range

Related Forecasts