US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

COST 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $906.57 and stabilize above resistance $930.76.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $930.76 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.0, MACD -0.781

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.04 (0.56%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$901.33Bearish
EMA 21$906.57Bearish
EMA 50$916.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.0 · MACD -0.781

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.04 · BB 3.01%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 45.6 · OBV -51.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$893.22 - $930.76

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.69% · 8.3 ATR above latest close

$935.8
Nearest resistance

+4.13% · 7.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$930.76
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$893.87
Nearest support

-0.07% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$893.22
Deeper support zone

-0.64% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$888.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$888.83 - $898.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $921.99, invalidation $900.06

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.3 / 24.1 / 36.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$879.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$906.99 / $923.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.04 (0.56%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.01%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$915.84 / $896.59Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$888.83 / $898.91Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$930.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$893.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.781Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 8.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.93xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $921.99, invalidation $900.06

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.3 / 24.1 / 36.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$879.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$906.99 / $923.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.781Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 8.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.04 (0.56%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.01%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$915.84 / $896.59Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$888.83 / $898.91Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.93xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$930.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$893.22Range

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