US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish80%
3M Upside probability 80%Bullish

COST 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $261.67 and reclaim $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $261.67 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 70.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $132.65 (14.1%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$907.34Bullish
EMA 21$731.84Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 70.5 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $132.65 · BB 106.57%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 78.7 · OBV 93.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$261.67 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.64% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$1,229.1
Nearest resistance

+16.54% · 1.2 ATR above · 29-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$940.87
Nearest support

-72.19% · 5.1 ATR below · 29-bar low

$261.67
Deeper support zone

-86.29% · 6.1 ATR below latest close

$129.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$808.22 - $1,073.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.8 / 36.7 / 5.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$500.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$816.73 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$132.65 (14.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 106.57%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,040.1 / $456.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$808.22 / $1,073.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$261.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.9 / 79.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

70.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

78.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

93.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.8 / 36.7 / 5.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$500.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$816.73 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.9 / 79.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

70.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$132.65 (14.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 106.57%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,040.1 / $456.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$808.22 / $1,073.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

78.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

93.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$261.67Range

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