US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish91%
3M Upside probability 91%Bullish

COST 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $261.67 and reclaim $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $261.67 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 71.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $139.61 (13.92%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$923.3Bullish
EMA 21$753.96Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 71.7 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $139.61 · BB 105.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 74.2 · OBV 39.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$261.67 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.26% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$1,236.1
Nearest resistance

+9.33% · 0.7 ATR above · 30-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,002.9
Nearest support

-73.91% · 5.3 ATR below · 30-bar low

$261.67
Deeper support zone

-87.83% · 6.3 ATR below latest close

$122.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$863.27 - $1,142.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

69.5 / 36.1 / 6.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$529.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$834.45 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$139.61 (13.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.07%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,058.5 / $481.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$863.27 / $1,142.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$261.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.6 / 76.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

69.5 / 36.1 / 6.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$529.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$834.45 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.6 / 76.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$139.61 (13.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.07%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,058.5 / $481.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$863.27 / $1,142.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$261.67Range

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