US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish80%
3M Upside probability 80%Bullish

COST 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $261.67 and reclaim $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $261.67 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $135.01 (15.11%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$896.87Bearish
EMA 21$727.56Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.3 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $135.01 · BB 105.74%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 75.7 · OBV 75.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$261.67 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.79% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$1,231.5
Nearest resistance

+22.69% · 1.5 ATR above · 29-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$893.74
Nearest support

-70.72% · 4.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$261.67
Deeper support zone

-85.83% · 5.7 ATR below latest close

$126.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$758.73 - $1,028.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.6 / 36.0 / 5.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$492.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$816.73 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$135.01 (15.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.74%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,042.3 / $445.65Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$758.73 / $1,028.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$261.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.3 / 76.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

66.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

75.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.6 / 36.0 / 5.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$492.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$816.73 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.3 / 76.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

66.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$135.01 (15.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.74%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,042.3 / $445.65Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$758.73 / $1,028.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

75.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$261.67Range

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