US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish78%
3M Upside probability 78%Bullish

COST 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $307.04 and reclaim $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $307.04 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 70.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $132.9 (13.98%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$901.05Bullish
EMA 21$698.3Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 70.9 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $132.9 · BB 112.81%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 83.5 · OBV 396.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$307.04 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.35% · 2.1 ATR above latest close

$1,229.4
Nearest resistance

+15.37% · 1.1 ATR above · 24-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$950.4
Nearest support

-67.69% · 4.8 ATR below · 24-bar low

$307.04
Deeper support zone

-81.68% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$174.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$817.49 - $1,083.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,078, invalidation $844.28

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$558.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$132.9 (13.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 112.81%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,018.7 / $407.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$817.49 / $1,083.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$307.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.5 / 76.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

97.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

83.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

396.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,078, invalidation $844.28

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$558.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.5 / 76.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

97.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$132.9 (13.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 112.81%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,018.7 / $407.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$817.49 / $1,083.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

83.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

396.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$307.04Range

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