US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish91%
Weekly Downside probability 91%Bearish

COST 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $959.59 and stabilize above resistance $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,096.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.5, MACD -3.742

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $45.73 (4.88%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$948.12Bearish
EMA 21$959.59Bearish
EMA 50$958.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.5 · MACD -3.742

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $45.73 · BB 14.36%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.2 · OBV -0.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$860.85 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.01% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$1,142.2
Nearest resistance

+17.12% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$936.2
Nearest support

-8.05% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$860.85
Deeper support zone

-12.93% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$815.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$890.47 - $981.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $907.21, invalidation $987.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.8 / 9.4 / 22.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$825.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$974.62 / $970.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$45.73 (4.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.36%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,043.4 / $874.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$890.47 / $981.93Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$860.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.742Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.1 / 24.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $907.21, invalidation $987.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.8 / 9.4 / 22.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$825.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$974.62 / $970.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.742Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.1 / 24.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$45.73 (4.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.36%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,043.4 / $874.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$890.47 / $981.93Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$860.85Range

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