US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish59%
Weekly Downside probability 59%Bearish

COST 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $980.56 and stabilize above resistance $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,096.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.1, MACD -8.514

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $44.55 (4.69%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$976.39Bearish
EMA 21$980.56Bearish
EMA 50$965.16Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.1 · MACD -8.514

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $44.55 · BB 10.23%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.9 · OBV 0.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$844.28 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.06% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$1,141
Nearest resistance

+15.37% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$950.4
Nearest support

-11.17% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$844.28
Deeper support zone

-15.85% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$799.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$905.85 - $994.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $936.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 24.4 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$805.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$995.52 / $970.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$44.55 (4.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.23%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,079.6 / $882.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$905.85 / $994.94Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$844.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.514Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.6 / 15.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-166.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $936.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 24.4 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$805.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$995.52 / $970.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.514Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.6 / 15.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-166.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$44.55 (4.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.23%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,079.6 / $882.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$905.85 / $994.94Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$844.28Range

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