US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

COST 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $946.41 and stabilize above resistance $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,096.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.1, MACD -6.927

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $39.57 (4.43%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$925.16Bearish
EMA 21$946.41Bearish
EMA 50$952.88Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.1 · MACD -6.927

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $39.57 · BB 15.75%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.6 · OBV -6.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$892.67 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.11% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$1,136.1
Nearest resistance

+22.69% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$893.74
Nearest support

-0.12% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$892.67
Deeper support zone

-4.55% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$853.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$854.17 - $933.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $907.21, invalidation $978.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 12.1 / 16.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$797.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$967.35 / $970.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$39.57 (4.43%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.75%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,018.8 / $872.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$854.17 / $933.31Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$892.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.927Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.0 / 5.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $907.21, invalidation $978.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 12.1 / 16.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$797.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$967.35 / $970.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.927Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.0 / 5.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$39.57 (4.43%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.75%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,018.8 / $872.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$854.17 / $933.31Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$892.67Range

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