US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish54%
Weekly Downside probability 54%Bearish

COST 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $969.62 and stabilize above resistance $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,096.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.8, MACD -10.272

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $50.11 (5.33%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$955Bearish
EMA 21$969.62Bearish
EMA 50$961.97Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.8 · MACD -10.272

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $50.11 · BB 13.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.6 · OBV 6.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$844.06 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.87% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$1,146.6
Nearest resistance

+16.54% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$940.87
Nearest support

-10.29% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$844.06
Deeper support zone

-15.62% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$793.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$890.76 - $990.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $936.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 14.6 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$770.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,001.9 / $970.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.11 (5.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.17%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,080.8 / $858.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$890.76 / $990.98Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$844.06Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.272Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.8 / 13.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $936.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 14.6 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$770.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,001.9 / $970.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.272Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.8 / 13.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.11 (5.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.17%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,080.8 / $858.09Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$890.76 / $990.98Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$844.06Range

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