US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish86%
12h Downside probability 86%Bearish

COST 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $952.86 and stabilize above resistance $978.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $978.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.7, MACD -1.413

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $11.67 (1.25%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$951.51Bearish
EMA 21$952.86Bearish
EMA 50$951.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.7 · MACD -1.413

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.67 · BB 4.46%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 35.7 · OBV -54.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$925.77 - $978.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.79% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$990.37
Nearest resistance

+4.54% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$978.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$936.2
Nearest support

-1.11% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$925.77
Deeper support zone

-2.36% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$914.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$924.53 - $947.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $925.77, invalidation $971.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 28.3 / 39.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$914.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$952.28 / $951.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$11.67 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.46%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$971.38 / $934.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$924.53 / $947.87Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$978.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$925.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.413Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.7 / 39.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $925.77, invalidation $971.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 28.3 / 39.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$914.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$952.28 / $951.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.413Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.7 / 39.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$11.67 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.46%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$971.38 / $934.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$924.53 / $947.87Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$978.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$925.77Range

Related Forecasts