US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

COST 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $914.83 and stabilize above resistance $971.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $971.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.1, MACD -0.121

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $7.33 (0.82%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$905.2Bearish
EMA 21$914.83Bearish
EMA 50$928.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.1 · MACD -0.121

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.33 · BB 5.16%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.7 · OBV -51.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$893.22 - $971.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.49% · 11.6 ATR above latest close

$978.73
Nearest resistance

+8.67% · 10.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$971.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$893.87
Nearest support

-0.07% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$893.22
Deeper support zone

-0.89% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$885.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$886.54 - $901.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $921.99, invalidation $898.98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.0 / 20.1 / 43.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$876.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$915.54 / $935.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.33 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.16%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$928.98 / $899.26Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$886.54 / $901.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$971.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$893.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.121Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 10.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.95xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $921.99, invalidation $898.98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.0 / 20.1 / 43.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$876.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$915.54 / $935.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.121Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 10.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.33 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.16%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$928.98 / $899.26Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$886.54 / $901.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.95xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$971.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$893.22Range

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