US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish89%
1h Downside probability 89%Bearish

COST 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $946.97 and stabilize above resistance $964.56.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $964.56 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.1, MACD -1.043

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.33 (0.36%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$940.73Bearish
EMA 21$946.97Bearish
EMA 50$952.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.1 · MACD -1.043

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.33 · BB 3.02%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 4.6 · OBV -45.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$934.66 - $964.56

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.38% · 9.5 ATR above latest close

$967.89
Nearest resistance

+3.03% · 8.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$964.56
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$936.2
Nearest support

-0.16% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$934.66
Deeper support zone

-0.52% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$931.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$932.87 - $939.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $939.3, invalidation $942.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.8 / 12.7 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$924.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$946.12 / $953.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.33 (0.36%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.02%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$953.97 / $939.23Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$932.87 / $939.53Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$964.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$934.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.043Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.6 / 3.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

4.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.64xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $939.3, invalidation $942.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.8 / 12.7 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$924.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$946.12 / $953.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.043Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.6 / 3.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.33 (0.36%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.02%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$953.97 / $939.23Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$932.87 / $939.53Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

4.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.64xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$964.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$934.66Range

Related Forecasts