US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish67%
1h Downside probability 67%Bearish

COST 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $954.24 and stabilize above resistance $966.06.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $966.06 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.3, MACD 0.804

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.06 (0.53%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$953.98Bearish
EMA 21$954.24Bearish
EMA 50$958.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.3 · MACD 0.804

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $5.06 · BB 2.86%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 51.8 · OBV -1.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$938.72 - $966.06

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.83% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$971.12
Nearest resistance

+1.3% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$966.06
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$953.67
Nearest support

-1.57% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$938.72
Deeper support zone

-2.1% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$933.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$948.6 - $958.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $938.72, invalidation $959.92

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 34.5 / 41.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$941.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$951.57 / $963.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.06 (0.53%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.86%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$961.86 / $946.43Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$948.6 / $958.73Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$966.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$938.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.804Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.5 / 63.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.54xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $938.72, invalidation $959.92

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 34.5 / 41.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$941.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$951.57 / $963.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.804Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.5 / 63.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.06 (0.53%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.86%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$961.86 / $946.43Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$948.6 / $958.73Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.54xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$966.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$938.72Range

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