US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

COST 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $901.95 and stabilize above resistance $919.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $919.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.0, MACD -0.566

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.08 (0.23%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$898.12Bearish
EMA 21$901.95Bearish
EMA 50$905.61Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.0 · MACD -0.566

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.08 · BB 1.53%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 10.2 · OBV -210.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$893.22 - $919.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.15% · 13.5 ATR above latest close

$922.05
Nearest resistance

+2.92% · 12.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$919.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$893.87
Nearest support

-0.07% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$893.22
Deeper support zone

-0.31% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$891.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$891.79 - $895.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $895.87, invalidation $901.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.4 / 9.7 / 51.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$885.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$901.69 / $907.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.08 (0.23%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.53%

-7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$906.97 / $896.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$891.79 / $895.95Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$919.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$893.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.566Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.3 / 19.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-210.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

10.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-210.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $895.87, invalidation $901.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.4 / 9.7 / 51.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$885.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$901.69 / $907.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.566Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.3 / 19.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-210.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.08 (0.23%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.53%

-7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$906.97 / $896.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$891.79 / $895.95Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

10.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-210.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$919.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$893.22Range

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