US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish74%
Monthly Upside probability 74%Bullish

COST 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $640.51 and reclaim $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $640.51 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 59.0, MACD -12.433

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $85.37 (8.51%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$958.1Bullish
EMA 21$932.36Bullish
EMA 50$808.72Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 59.0 · MACD -12.433

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $85.37 · BB 17.94%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.9 · OBV -5.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$640.51 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.85% · 2.1 ATR above latest close

$1,181.9
Nearest resistance

+9.33% · 1.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,002.9
Nearest support

-36.13% · 4.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$640.51
Deeper support zone

-44.65% · 5.2 ATR below latest close

$555.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$917.51 - $1,088.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.1 / 20.7 / 14.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$691.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$980.04 / $772.2Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$85.37 (8.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.94%

77%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,116.4 / $754.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$917.51 / $1,088.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$640.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.433Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.9 / 43.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.1 / 20.7 / 14.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$691.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$980.04 / $772.2Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.433Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.9 / 43.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$85.37 (8.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.94%

77%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,116.4 / $754.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$917.51 / $1,088.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$640.51Range

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