US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish57%
Monthly Upside probability 57%Bullish

COST 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $640.51 and reclaim $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $640.51 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 53.4, MACD -16.722

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $79.35 (8.48%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$943.16Bearish
EMA 21$926.25Bullish
EMA 50$806.08Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.4 · MACD -16.722

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $79.35 · BB 17.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.2 · OBV -8.23%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$640.51 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.67% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$1,175.8
Nearest resistance

+17.19% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$935.68
Nearest support

-31.55% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$640.51
Deeper support zone

-40.03% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

$561.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$856.33 - $1,015

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.0 / 16.0 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$674.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$980.04 / $772.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$79.35 (8.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.53%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,093.2 / $765.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$856.33 / $1,015Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$640.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-16.722Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.3 / 34.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.0 / 16.0 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$674.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$980.04 / $772.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-16.722Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.3 / 34.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$79.35 (8.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.53%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,093.2 / $765.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$856.33 / $1,015Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$640.51Range

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