US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish59%
Monthly Downside probability 59%Bearish

COST 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $923.8 and stabilize above resistance $1,096.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,096.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.2, MACD -18.293

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $81 (9.06%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$941.61Bearish
EMA 21$923.8Bearish
EMA 50$800.14Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.2 · MACD -18.293

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $81 · BB 19.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.7 · OBV -11.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$590.59 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.75% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$1,177.5
Nearest resistance

+22.69% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$893.74
Nearest support

-33.92% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$590.59
Deeper support zone

-42.98% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

$509.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$812.74 - $974.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.3 / 15.9 / 14.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$664.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$959.63 / $769.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81 (9.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.79%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,098.8 / $755.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$812.74 / $974.74Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$590.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-18.293Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.7 / 34.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.3 / 15.9 / 14.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$664.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$959.63 / $769.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-18.293Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.7 / 34.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81 (9.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.79%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,098.8 / $755.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$812.74 / $974.74Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$590.59Range

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