US stock / ETF

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthRange49%
Monthly Range probability 98%Range

COST 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $549.65 - $1,096.5 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 53.7, MACD -15.569

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $81.89 (8.75%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$952.77Bearish
EMA 21$925.78Bullish
EMA 50$795.88Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.7 · MACD -15.569

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $81.89 · BB 18.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.8 · OBV -6.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$549.65 - $1,096.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.87% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$1,178.4
Nearest resistance

+17.12% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,096.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$936.2
Nearest support

-41.29% · 4.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$549.65
Deeper support zone

-50.04% · 5.7 ATR below latest close

$467.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$854.31 - $1,018.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 15.7 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$691.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$957.52 / $751.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81.89 (8.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.91%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,103.6 / $755.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$854.31 / $1,018.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$549.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-15.569Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 38.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,096.5, invalidation $844.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 15.7 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$691.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$957.52 / $751.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-15.569Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 38.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81.89 (8.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.91%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,103.6 / $755.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$854.31 / $1,018.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,096.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$549.65Range

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