US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish65%
4h Downside probability 65%Bearish

CMG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $35.64 and stabilize above resistance $36.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $36.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.5, MACD -0.172

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4408 (1.25%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$35.91Bearish
EMA 21$35.64Bearish
EMA 50$34.37Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.5 · MACD -0.172

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4408 · BB 6.30%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 32.3 · OBV -25.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$32.89 - $36.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.36% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$37.24
Nearest resistance

+4.11% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$36.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$35.35
Nearest support

-6.95% · 5.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$32.89
Deeper support zone

-8.2% · 6.6 ATR below latest close

$32.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$34.91 - $35.79

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $36.8, invalidation $35.48

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.2 / 18.5 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$33.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$35.77 / $33.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4408 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.30%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.57 / $34.77Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$34.91 / $35.79Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$36.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$32.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.172Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.87xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $36.8, invalidation $35.48

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.2 / 18.5 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$33.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$35.77 / $33.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.172Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4408 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.30%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.57 / $34.77Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$34.91 / $35.79Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.87xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$36.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$32.89Range

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