US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish90%
Weekly Downside probability 90%Bearish

CMG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $33.11 and stabilize above resistance $39.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $39.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.5, MACD -0.623

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.1 (11.33%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$31.46Bearish
EMA 21$33.11Bearish
EMA 50$35.62Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.5 · MACD -0.623

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.1 · BB 31.31%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.4 · OBV -20.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$27.31 - $39.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+54.07% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$42.19
Nearest resistance

+42.74% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$39.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.39
Nearest support

-0.27% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$27.31
Deeper support zone

-11.6% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$24.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$24.28 - $30.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.92, invalidation $31.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 24.9 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.16 / $34.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.1 (11.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.31%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$38.1 / $27.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$24.28 / $30.49Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$39.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.623Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.6 / 5.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-171.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.92, invalidation $31.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 24.9 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.16 / $34.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.623Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.6 / 5.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-171.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.1 (11.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.31%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$38.1 / $27.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$24.28 / $30.49Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$39.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.31Range

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