US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish88%
Weekly Downside probability 88%Bearish

CMG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $33.62 and stabilize above resistance $41.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $41.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.8, MACD 0.046

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.6 (8.41%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$31.99Bearish
EMA 21$33.62Bearish
EMA 50$37.62Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD 0.046

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.6 · BB 25.00%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.0 · OBV -46.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.04 - $41.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+42.19% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$44.02
Nearest resistance

+33.79% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$41.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$30.96
Nearest support

-9.45% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.04
Deeper support zone

-17.86% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$25.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$28.36 - $33.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $33.94

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.5 / 16.0 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.14 / $43.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.6 (8.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.00%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$38.36 / $28.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.36 / $33.56Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$41.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.046Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 42.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-46.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $33.94

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.5 / 16.0 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.14 / $43.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.046Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 42.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.6 (8.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.00%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$38.36 / $28.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.36 / $33.56Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-46.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$41.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

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