US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish72%
Weekly Downside probability 72%Bearish

CMG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $34.31 and stabilize above resistance $39.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $39.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD -0.086

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.17 (9.78%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$33.93Bearish
EMA 21$34.31Bearish
EMA 50$36.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD -0.086

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.17 · BB 26.68%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.7 · OBV -2.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$28.04 - $39.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.36% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$43.16
Nearest resistance

+23.58% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$39.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.36
Nearest support

-13.37% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.04
Deeper support zone

-23.15% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$24.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$29.19 - $35.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.92, invalidation $31.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 30.4 / 20.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$34.3 / $35.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.17 (9.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.68%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$40.77 / $27.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$29.19 / $35.53Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$39.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.086Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.4 / 20.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.92, invalidation $31.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 30.4 / 20.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$34.3 / $35.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.086Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.4 / 20.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.17 (9.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.68%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$40.77 / $27.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$29.19 / $35.53Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$39.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

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