US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CMG 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $27.9 and stabilize above resistance $28.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $28.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.3, MACD -0.037

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1447 (0.53%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$27.64Bearish
EMA 21$27.9Bearish
EMA 50$28.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.3 · MACD -0.037

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1447 · BB 3.90%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV -0.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$27.31 - $28.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.16% · 7.9 ATR above latest close

$28.52
Nearest resistance

+3.63% · 6.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$28.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.39
Nearest support

-0.27% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$27.31
Deeper support zone

-0.8% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$27.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$27.24 - $27.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $27.82, invalidation $28.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.6 / 12.0 / 47.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$26.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.79 / $28.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1447 (0.53%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.90%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$28.2 / $27.57Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.24 / $27.53Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$28.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.037Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 5.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $27.82, invalidation $28.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.6 / 12.0 / 47.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$26.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.79 / $28.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.037Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 5.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1447 (0.53%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.90%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$28.2 / $27.57Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.24 / $27.53Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$28.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.31Range

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