US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

CMG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $40.22 and stabilize above resistance $69.26.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $69.26 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD -0.571

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.97 (15.78%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$36.3Bullish
EMA 21$40.22Bearish
EMA 50$40.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD -0.571

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.97 · BB 80.96%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.2 · OBV -18.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.04 - $69.26

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+98.77% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$75.23
Nearest resistance

+82.99% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$69.26
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$37.85
Nearest support

-25.93% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.04
Deeper support zone

-41.72% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$22.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$31.88 - $43.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $41.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.4 / 14.0 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$41.06 / $46.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.97 (15.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.96%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$49.84 / $30.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.88 / $43.82Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.571Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $41.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.4 / 14.0 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$41.06 / $46.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.571Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.97 (15.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.96%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$49.84 / $30.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.88 / $43.82Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

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