US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

CMG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $40.13 and stabilize above resistance $69.26.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $69.26 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.6, MACD -0.631

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.35 (17.2%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$36.09Bullish
EMA 21$40.13Bearish
EMA 50$40.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.6 · MACD -0.631

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.35 · BB 81.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.8 · OBV -26.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.04 - $69.26

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+104.9% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$75.61
Nearest resistance

+87.7% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$69.26
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$36.9
Nearest support

-24.02% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.04
Deeper support zone

-41.23% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$21.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$30.55 - $43.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $41.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.4 / 13.2 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$41.06 / $46.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.35 (17.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 81.28%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$50.79 / $29.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.55 / $43.25Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.631Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.2 / 26.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $41.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.4 / 13.2 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$41.06 / $46.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.631Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.2 / 26.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.35 (17.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 81.28%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$50.79 / $29.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.55 / $43.25Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

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