US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

CMG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $38.35 and stabilize above resistance $69.26.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $69.26 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.7, MACD -0.872

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6 (21.93%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$33.53Bearish
EMA 21$38.35Bearish
EMA 50$39.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.7 · MACD -0.872

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6 · BB 77.09%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.2 · OBV -10.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$27.31 - $69.26

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+174.84% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$75.26
Nearest resistance

+152.91% · 7.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$69.26
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.39
Nearest support

-0.27% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$27.31
Deeper support zone

-22.2% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$21.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.38 - $33.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $39.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.7 / 14.6 / 29.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$40.44 / $46.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6 (21.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 77.09%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$49.77 / $26.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.38 / $33.39Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.872Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 18.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $39.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.7 / 14.6 / 29.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$40.44 / $46.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.872Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 18.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6 (21.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 77.09%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$49.77 / $26.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.38 / $33.39Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.31Range

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