US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

CMG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $38.43 and stabilize above resistance $69.26.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $69.26 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -0.293

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.07 (17.27%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$34.68Bullish
EMA 21$38.43Bearish
EMA 50$39.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -0.293

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.07 · BB 70.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.3 · OBV -20.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$27.31 - $69.26

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+114.19% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$75.33
Nearest resistance

+96.93% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$69.26
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$35.17
Nearest support

-22.35% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$27.31
Deeper support zone

-39.61% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$21.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$29.1 - $41.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $39.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.6 / 18.4 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$40.11 / $48.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.07 (17.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.66%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$49.93 / $26.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$29.1 / $41.24Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.293Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.7 / 34.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.04, invalidation $39.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.6 / 18.4 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$40.11 / $48.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.293Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.7 / 34.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.07 (17.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.66%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$49.93 / $26.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$29.1 / $41.24Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.26Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.31Range

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