US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

CMG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $40.51 and stabilize above resistance $69.18.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $69.18 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.9, MACD -1.708

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.06 (19.57%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$34.79Bearish
EMA 21$40.51Bearish
EMA 50$39.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.9 · MACD -1.708

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.06 · BB 93.71%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.8 · OBV -107.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$28.04 - $69.18

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+143.02% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$75.24
Nearest resistance

+123.45% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$69.18
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$30.96
Nearest support

-9.45% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$28.04
Deeper support zone

-29.02% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$21.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$24.9 - $37.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $41.42, invalidation $30.62

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.1 / 12.4 / 34.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$14.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$42.02 / $46.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.06 (19.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 93.71%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$51.28 / $29.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$24.9 / $37.02Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.708Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 10.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-107.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $41.42, invalidation $30.62

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.1 / 12.4 / 34.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$14.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$42.02 / $46.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.708Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 10.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.06 (19.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 93.71%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$51.28 / $29.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$24.9 / $37.02Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-107.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.04Range

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