US stock / ETF

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish76%
3M Downside probability 76%Bearish

CMG 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $38.39 and stabilize above resistance $69.18.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $69.18 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.06 (38.95%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$40.58Bearish
EMA 21$38.39Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.06 · BB 111.55%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.0 · OBV -132.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$22.21 - $69.18

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+162.4% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$81.24
Nearest resistance

+123.45% · 3.2 ATR above · 24-bar high

$69.18
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$30.96
Nearest support

-28.26% · 0.7 ATR below · 24-bar low

$22.21
Deeper support zone

-67.21% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$10.15
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$18.9 - $43.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $29.75, invalidation $58.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$7.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.06 (38.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 111.55%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$64.89 / $11.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.9 / $43.02Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.21Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-132.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.27xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $29.75, invalidation $58.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$7.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.06 (38.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 111.55%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$64.89 / $11.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.9 / $43.02Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-132.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.27xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$69.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.21Range

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