Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

BTCUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $62,754.9 and stabilize above resistance $65,622.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $65,622.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 22.7, MACD -352.853

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $996.16 (1.67%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$61,716.1Bearish
EMA 21$62,754.9Bearish
EMA 50$63,470.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 22.7 · MACD -352.853

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $996.16 · BB 8.46%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.8 · OBV -59.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$59,102.7 - $65,622.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.78% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$66,619
Nearest resistance

+10.11% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$65,622.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$59,600
Nearest support

-0.83% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$59,102.7
Deeper support zone

-2.51% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$58,106.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$58,603.8 - $60,596.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $61,938, invalidation $63,239.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 8.4 / 43.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$56,585.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61,766.8 / $63,047.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$996.16 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.46%

-17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$64,911.3 / $60,505.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58,603.8 / $60,596.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$65,622.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,102.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-352.853Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.6 / 11.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-230.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-59.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.93xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $61,938, invalidation $63,239.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 8.4 / 43.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$56,585.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61,766.8 / $63,047.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-352.853Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.6 / 11.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-230.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$996.16 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.46%

-17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$64,911.3 / $60,505.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58,603.8 / $60,596.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-59.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.93xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$65,622.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,102.7Range

Related Forecasts