Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish89%
4h Downside probability 89%Bearish

BTCUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 82,047.7 and stabilize above resistance 84,898.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 84,898 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.7, MACD -154.332

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 726.55 (0.89%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 881,659.4Bearish
EMA 2182,047.7Bearish
EMA 5082,263.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.7 · MACD -154.332

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 726.55 · BB 5.00%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 25.1 · OBV -15.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
80,684.4 - 84,898

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.22% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

85,624.5
Nearest resistance

+4.32% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

84,898
Current price

Price shown is delayed

81,378.7
Nearest support

-0.85% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

80,684.4
Deeper support zone

-1.75% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

79,957.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

80,652.1 - 82,105.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 82,060.9, invalidation 81,099

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.1 / 5.3 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

79,560.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,216 / 82,349Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

726.55 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.00%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

83,248.6 / 80,817.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

80,652.1 / 82,105.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

84,898Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

80,684.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-154.332Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 12.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 82,060.9, invalidation 81,099

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.1 / 5.3 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

79,560.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,216 / 82,349Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-154.332Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 12.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

726.55 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.00%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

83,248.6 / 80,817.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

80,652.1 / 82,105.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

84,898Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

80,684.4Range

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