Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish83%
4h Downside probability 83%Bearish

BTCUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 72,729 and stabilize above resistance 76,200.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 76,200 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 15.7, MACD -486.843

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 1,083.3 (1.59%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 870,981.8Bearish
EMA 2172,729Bearish
EMA 5074,492.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 15.7 · MACD -486.843

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1,083.3 · BB 9.65%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 26.0 · OBV -10440.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
67,568 - 76,200

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.41% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

77,283.3
Nearest resistance

+11.82% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

76,200
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,143.7
Nearest support

-0.84% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

67,568
Deeper support zone

-2.43% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

66,484.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

67,060.4 - 69,227

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 74,811.5, invalidation 73,390.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.2 / 4.9 / 44.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

64,755.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

71,386.7 / 74,265Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,083.3 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.65%

-20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

75,041 / 70,238.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,060.4 / 69,227Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

76,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

67,568Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

15.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-486.843Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.9 / 8.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-259.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10440.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 74,811.5, invalidation 73,390.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.2 / 4.9 / 44.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

64,755.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

71,386.7 / 74,265Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

15.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-486.843Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.9 / 8.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-259.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,083.3 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.65%

-20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

75,041 / 70,238.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,060.4 / 69,227Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10440.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

76,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

67,568Range

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