Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish56%
4h Downside probability 56%Bearish

BTCUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,562.5 and stabilize above resistance 79,890.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 79,890 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.9, MACD 63.482

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 690.04 (0.89%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 877,286.3Bullish
EMA 2177,562.5Bearish
EMA 5078,064.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD 63.482

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 690.04 · BB 2.27%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 61.9 · OBV 0.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
76,046.6 - 79,890

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.26% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

80,580
Nearest resistance

+3.36% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

79,890
Current price

Price shown is delayed

77,290
Nearest support

-1.61% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

76,046.6
Deeper support zone

-2.5% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

75,356.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

76,599.9 - 77,980

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 77,505.7, invalidation 77,059.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 31.0 / 7.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

75,142.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

77,721.9 / 78,698.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

690.04 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.27%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

78,942.1 / 76,129.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76,599.9 / 77,980Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

79,890Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,046.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

63.482Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 30.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.76%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 77,505.7, invalidation 77,059.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 31.0 / 7.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

75,142.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

77,721.9 / 78,698.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

63.482Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 30.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

690.04 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.27%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

78,942.1 / 76,129.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76,599.9 / 77,980Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.76%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

79,890Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,046.6Range

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