Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

12 hoursBearish74%
12h Downside probability 74%Bearish

BTCUSDT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,983.4 and stabilize above resistance 82,300.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 82,300 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.0, MACD -357.398

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 1,258.8 (1.63%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 877,539.5Bearish
EMA 2177,983.4Bearish
EMA 5076,304.9Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.0 · MACD -357.398

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1,258.8 · BB 6.95%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.9 · OBV -14.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
76,046.6 - 82,300

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.11% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

83,558.8
Nearest resistance

+6.48% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

82,300
Current price

Price shown is delayed

77,290
Nearest support

-1.61% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

76,046.6
Deeper support zone

-3.24% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

74,787.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

76,031.1 - 78,548.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 79,890, invalidation 76,046.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 21.2 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

73,476.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

78,570.8 / 73,163.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,258.8 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.95%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

80,505.5 / 75,471.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76,031.1 / 78,548.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

82,300Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,046.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-357.398Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.5 / 28.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 79,890, invalidation 76,046.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 21.2 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

73,476.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

78,570.8 / 73,163.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-357.398Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.5 / 28.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,258.8 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.95%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

80,505.5 / 75,471.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76,031.1 / 78,548.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

82,300Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

76,046.6Range

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