Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

12 hoursBearish78%
12h Downside probability 78%Bearish

BTCUSDT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 82,325 and stabilize above resistance 85,598.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 85,598.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -25.945

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 1,248.1 (1.53%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 882,014.9Bearish
EMA 2182,325Bearish
EMA 5082,510.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -25.945

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1,248.1 · BB 3.92%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.6 · OBV -8.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
79,800 - 85,598.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.72% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

86,846.3
Nearest resistance

+5.19% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

85,598.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

81,378.7
Nearest support

-1.94% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

79,800
Deeper support zone

-3.47% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

78,551.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

80,130.6 - 82,626.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 84,898, invalidation 80,939.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 23.9 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

77,438.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,633.9 / 83,510Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,248.1 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.92%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

85,063.8 / 79,542.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

80,130.6 / 82,626.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

85,598.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,800Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-25.945Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 84,898, invalidation 80,939.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 23.9 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

77,438.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,633.9 / 83,510Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-25.945Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1,248.1 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.92%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

85,063.8 / 79,542.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

80,130.6 / 82,626.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

85,598.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

79,800Range

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