Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 hourBearish75%
1h Downside probability 75%Bearish

BTCUSDT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 71,103.4 and stabilize above resistance 74,811.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 74,811.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 9.2, MACD -317.201

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 658.07 (0.97%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 869,750.6Bearish
EMA 2171,103.4Bearish
EMA 5072,379.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 9.2 · MACD -317.201

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 658.07 · BB 7.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 14.1 · OBV -49.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
67,568 - 74,811.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.75% · 11.1 ATR above latest close

75,469.5
Nearest resistance

+9.78% · 10.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

74,811.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,143.7
Nearest support

-0.84% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

67,568
Deeper support zone

-1.81% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

66,909.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

67,485.6 - 68,801.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 74,811.5, invalidation 71,255

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

69.4 / 5.3 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

66,045.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

70,159.8 / 71,189.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

658.07 (0.97%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.62%

-8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

72,481.9 / 69,579Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,485.6 / 68,801.8Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

74,811.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

67,568Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

9.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-317.201Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 8.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-223.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.09xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 74,811.5, invalidation 71,255

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

69.4 / 5.3 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

66,045.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

70,159.8 / 71,189.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

9.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-317.201Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 8.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-223.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

658.07 (0.97%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.62%

-8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

72,481.9 / 69,579Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

67,485.6 / 68,801.8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.09xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

74,811.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

67,568Range

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