Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

BTCUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 78,873.6 and stabilize above resistance 126,287.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,287.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 52.2, MACD -2462.035

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 15,388 (18.91%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 877,260.7Bullish
EMA 2178,873.6Bullish
EMA 5067,540.1Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.2 · MACD -2462.035

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 15,388 · BB 79.09%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.3 · OBV -8.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
38,512.3 - 126,287.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+74.09% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

141,675.3
Nearest resistance

+55.18% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,287.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

81,378.7
Nearest support

-52.68% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

38,512.3
Deeper support zone

-71.58% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

23,124.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

65,990.7 - 96,766.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,800.2, invalidation 82,813.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 16.5 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

41,341.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

81,008.8 / 70,884Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,388 (18.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.09%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

107,133.2 / 50,909Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

65,990.7 / 96,766.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

38,512.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2462.035Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 34.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,800.2, invalidation 82,813.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 16.5 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

41,341.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

81,008.8 / 70,884Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2462.035Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 34.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,388 (18.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.09%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

107,133.2 / 50,909Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

65,990.7 / 96,766.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

38,512.3Range

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