Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

BTCUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,940.8 and stabilize above resistance 126,287.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,287.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.4, MACD -4819.568

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 16,345.3 (21.25%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 873,561.4Bullish
EMA 2177,940.8Bearish
EMA 5066,503.1Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.4 · MACD -4819.568

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 16,345.3 · BB 79.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.3 · OBV -25.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
34,096.9 - 126,287.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+85.42% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

142,632.5
Nearest resistance

+64.18% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,287.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

76,922.1
Nearest support

-55.67% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

34,096.9
Deeper support zone

-76.92% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

17,751.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

60,576.8 - 93,267.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60,069.7, invalidation 82,813.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 18.2 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

22,839.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,808.4 / 70,884Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

16,345.3 (21.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.53%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

110,117.4 / 46,053.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

60,576.8 / 93,267.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

34,096.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4819.568Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.9 / 12.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60,069.7, invalidation 82,813.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 18.2 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

22,839.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,808.4 / 70,884Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4819.568Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.9 / 12.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

16,345.3 (21.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.53%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

110,117.4 / 46,053.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

60,576.8 / 93,267.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

34,096.9Range

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