Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

BTCUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 78,030 and stabilize above resistance 126,287.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,287.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.5, MACD -3736.146

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 15,642.1 (20.24%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 874,676.7Bullish
EMA 2178,030Bearish
EMA 5066,950Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.5 · MACD -3736.146

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 15,642.1 · BB 79.63%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.2 · OBV -16.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
37,626.1 - 126,287.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+83.63% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

141,929.3
Nearest resistance

+63.39% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,287.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

77,290
Nearest support

-51.32% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

37,626.1
Deeper support zone

-71.56% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

21,984.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

61,647.9 - 92,932

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,800.2, invalidation 82,813.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 14.5 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

37,846.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,808.4 / 70,884Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,642.1 (20.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.63%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

105,710.6 / 50,608.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,647.9 / 92,932Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

37,626.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3736.146Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.5 / 22.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,800.2, invalidation 82,813.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 14.5 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

37,846.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,808.4 / 70,884Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3736.146Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.5 / 22.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,642.1 (20.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.63%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

105,710.6 / 50,608.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

61,647.9 / 92,932Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

37,626.1Range

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