Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish68%
Monthly Downside probability 68%Bearish

BTCUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79,914.7 and stabilize above resistance $126,287.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $126,287.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -5948.124

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16,595.2 (26.45%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$76,289.7Bearish
EMA 21$79,914.7Bearish
EMA 50$66,331.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -5948.124

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16,595.2 · BB 70.32%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.7 · OBV -26.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$24,911.8 - $126,287.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+127.76% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$142,882.4
Nearest resistance

+101.3% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$126,287.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$62,734.6
Nearest support

-60.29% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$24,911.8
Deeper support zone

-86.74% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$8,316.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$46,139.4 - $79,329.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126,287.3, invalidation $60,069.7

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.1 / 19.4 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16,749Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90,227.1 / $70,884Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16,595.2 (26.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.32%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113,442.7 / $46,959.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$46,139.4 / $79,329.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$24,911.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5948.124Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 16.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126,287.3, invalidation $60,069.7

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.1 / 19.4 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16,749Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90,227.1 / $70,884Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5948.124Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 16.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16,595.2 (26.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.32%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113,442.7 / $46,959.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$46,139.4 / $79,329.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$24,911.8Range

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