Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish81%
Monthly Downside probability 81%Bearish

BTCUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 77,598.4 and stabilize above resistance 126,287.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 126,287.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.1, MACD -2794.581

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 15,844.6 (23.25%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 874,578.5Bearish
EMA 2177,598.4Bearish
EMA 5067,232.6Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.1 · MACD -2794.581

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 15,844.6 · BB 82.45%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.0 · OBV -20.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
41,855.9 - 126,287.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+108.58% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

142,131.9
Nearest resistance

+85.32% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

126,287.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

68,143.7
Nearest support

-38.58% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

41,855.9
Deeper support zone

-61.83% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

26,011.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

52,299.2 - 83,988.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 87,395.7, invalidation 57,800.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 16.0 / 31.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

33,657.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,320.8 / 70,884Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,844.6 (23.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 82.45%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

104,819.3 / 50,519.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

52,299.2 / 83,988.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

41,855.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2794.581Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.1 / 27.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 87,395.7, invalidation 57,800.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 16.0 / 31.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

33,657.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82,320.8 / 70,884Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2794.581Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.1 / 27.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

15,844.6 (23.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 82.45%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

104,819.3 / 50,519.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

52,299.2 / 83,988.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

126,287.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

41,855.9Range

Related Forecasts