Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish89%
Weekly Downside probability 89%Bearish

BTCUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $73,525.1 and stabilize above resistance $110,748.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $110,748.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.1, MACD -196.008

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5,948.3 (9.48%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$68,078.9Bearish
EMA 21$73,525.1Bearish
EMA 50$81,628.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.1 · MACD -196.008

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5,948.3 · BB 32.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.0 · OBV -9.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$59,130.9 - $110,748.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+86.02% · 9.1 ATR above latest close

$116,696.9
Nearest resistance

+76.54% · 8.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$110,748.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$62,734.6
Nearest support

-5.74% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$59,130.9
Deeper support zone

-15.23% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$53,182.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$56,786.3 - $68,682.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $82,813.9, invalidation $59,130.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 18.1 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46,160.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74,754.7 / $92,709.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5,948.3 (9.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.44%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84,862.8 / $61,369.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56,786.3 / $68,682.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110,748.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,130.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-196.008Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.2 / 20.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $82,813.9, invalidation $59,130.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 18.1 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46,160.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74,754.7 / $92,709.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-196.008Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.2 / 20.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5,948.3 (9.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.44%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$84,862.8 / $61,369.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56,786.3 / $68,682.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110,748.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$59,130.9Range

Related Forecasts