Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin / TetherUS

BTCUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish87%
Weekly Downside probability 87%Bearish

BTCUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 69,265.5 and stabilize above resistance 97,943.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 97,943.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.0, MACD 331.161

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 5,335.5 (8.39%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 864,812.1Bearish
EMA 2169,265.5Bearish
EMA 5077,795.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.0 · MACD 331.161

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 5,335.5 · BB 37.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.6 · OBV 9.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
57,800.2 - 97,943.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+62.34% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

103,278.7
Nearest resistance

+53.96% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

97,943.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

63,618
Nearest support

-9.14% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

57,800.2
Deeper support zone

-17.53% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

52,464.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

58,282.5 - 68,953.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,800.2, invalidation 66,956.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 10.4 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

46,688Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

66,426.6 / 92,043.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

5,335.5 (8.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.91%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

79,889.3 / 57,886.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

58,282.5 / 68,953.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

97,943.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57,800.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

331.161Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.3 / 25.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.06%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57,800.2, invalidation 66,956.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 10.4 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

46,688Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

66,426.6 / 92,043.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

331.161Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.3 / 25.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

5,335.5 (8.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.91%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

79,889.3 / 57,886.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

58,282.5 / 68,953.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.06%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

97,943.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57,800.2Range

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