US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish82%
4h Upside probability 82%Bullish

BABA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $110.5 and reclaim $128.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $110.5 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 76.7, MACD 1.226

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.37 (1.86%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$124.67Bullish
EMA 21$120.57Bullish
EMA 50$117.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 76.7 · MACD 1.226

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.37 · BB 16.70%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 81.0 · OBV 30.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$110.5 - $128.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.06% · 1.6 ATR above latest close

$131.17
Nearest resistance

+1.2% · 0.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$128.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$127.27
Nearest support

-13.18% · 7.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$110.5
Deeper support zone

-15.04% · 8.1 ATR below latest close

$108.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$124.9 - $129.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $117.66, invalidation $112.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.9 / 48.2 / 8.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.46 / $119.65Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.37 (1.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.70%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.51 / $116.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.9 / $129.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$128.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$110.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.226Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.4 / 94.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

130.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 10Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

30.47%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $117.66, invalidation $112.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.9 / 48.2 / 8.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.46 / $119.65Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.226Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.4 / 94.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

130.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 10Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.37 (1.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.70%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.51 / $116.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.9 / $129.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

30.47%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$128.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$110.5Range

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