US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish88%
4h Upside probability 88%Bullish

BABA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $95.19 and reclaim $115.58.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $95.19 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 70.2, MACD -0.366

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.68 (1.49%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$112.35Bullish
EMA 21$109.93Bullish
EMA 50$106.75Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 70.2 · MACD -0.366

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.68 · BB 6.08%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 58.8 · OBV 23.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$95.19 - $115.58

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.14% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$117.26
Nearest resistance

+2.65% · 1.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$115.58
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$112.6
Nearest support

-15.46% · 10.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.19
Deeper support zone

-16.95% · 11.4 ATR below latest close

$93.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$110.92 - $114.28

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.59, invalidation $110.66

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

88.3 / 33.7 / 5.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.25 / $103.1Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.68 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.08%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.12 / $107.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.92 / $114.28Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$115.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.366Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 51.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

44.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.32%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.59, invalidation $110.66

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

88.3 / 33.7 / 5.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.25 / $103.1Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.366Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 51.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

44.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.68 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.08%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.12 / $107.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.92 / $114.28Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.32%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$115.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.19Range

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