US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBullish92%
12h Upside probability 92%Bullish

BABA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $90.63 and reclaim $115.58.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $90.63 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 65.4, MACD 1.531

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.75 (3.33%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$110.86Bullish
EMA 21$106.92Bullish
EMA 50$108.75Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 65.4 · MACD 1.531

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.75 · BB 28.46%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 73.8 · OBV 58.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$90.63 - $115.58

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.98% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$119.33
Nearest resistance

+2.65% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$115.58
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$112.6
Nearest support

-19.51% · 5.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$90.63
Deeper support zone

-22.84% · 6.9 ATR below latest close

$86.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$108.85 - $116.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.58, invalidation $95.95

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

70.4 / 33.8 / 3.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.86 / $108.41Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.75 (3.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.46%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$115.65 / $98.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.85 / $116.35Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$115.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.531Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.8 / 83.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

75.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

73.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

58.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.58, invalidation $95.95

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

70.4 / 33.8 / 3.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.86 / $108.41Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.531Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.8 / 83.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

75.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.75 (3.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.46%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$115.65 / $98.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.85 / $116.35Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

73.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

58.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$115.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.63Range

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