US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

BABA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.84 and stabilize above resistance $111.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $111.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.0, MACD -1.094

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.44 (3.64%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$100.82Bearish
EMA 21$102.84Bearish
EMA 50$104.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.0 · MACD -1.094

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.44 · BB 15.82%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.7 · OBV -37.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$93.42 - $111.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.99% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$115.43
Nearest resistance

+18.36% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$111.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.62
Nearest support

-1.27% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.42
Deeper support zone

-4.9% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$89.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$91.18 - $98.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.99, invalidation $99.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.2 / 21.5 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$86.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.05 / $104.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.44 (3.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.82%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.63 / $96.93Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.18 / $98.06Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$111.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.42Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.094Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.5 / 10.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-173.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.99, invalidation $99.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.2 / 21.5 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$86.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.05 / $104.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.094Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.5 / 10.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-173.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.44 (3.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.82%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.63 / $96.93Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.18 / $98.06Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$111.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.42Range

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