US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish72%
12h Downside probability 72%Bearish

BABA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $112.68 and stabilize above resistance $131.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $131.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 36.6, MACD 0.019

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.91 (1.75%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$110.09Bearish
EMA 21$112.68Bearish
EMA 50$116.09Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.6 · MACD 0.019

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.91 · BB 9.50%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 53.7 · OBV 6.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$107.72 - $131.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.96% · 12.5 ATR above latest close

$133.31
Nearest resistance

+20.21% · 11.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$131.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$109.31
Nearest support

-1.45% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$107.72
Deeper support zone

-3.21% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$105.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$107.4 - $111.22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.72, invalidation $113.88

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 15.7 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$112.69 / $120.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.91 (1.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.50%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$115.93 / $109.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.4 / $111.22Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$131.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.019Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.8 / 21.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.02xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.72, invalidation $113.88

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 15.7 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$112.69 / $120.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.019Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.8 / 21.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.91 (1.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.50%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$115.93 / $109.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.4 / $111.22Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.02xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$131.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.72Range

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