US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish91%
12h Downside probability 91%Bearish

BABA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $106 and stabilize above resistance $115.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $115.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.9, MACD -1.086

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.89 (2.89%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$102.87Bearish
EMA 21$106Bearish
EMA 50$108.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.9 · MACD -1.086

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.89 · BB 15.18%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.4 · OBV -8.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$98.91 - $115.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.31% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$118.09
Nearest resistance

+15.42% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$115.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$99.81
Nearest support

-0.9% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$98.91
Deeper support zone

-3.79% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$96.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$96.92 - $102.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.4, invalidation $112.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.4 / 23.2 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.84 / $109.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.89 (2.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.18%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.65 / $100.08Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.92 / $102.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$115.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.086Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.5 / 9.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-146.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.72xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.4, invalidation $112.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.4 / 23.2 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.84 / $109.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.086Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.5 / 9.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-146.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.89 (2.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.18%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.65 / $100.08Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.92 / $102.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.72xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$115.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.91Range

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