US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish81%
12h Downside probability 81%Bearish

BABA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $115.42 and stabilize above resistance $146.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $146.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 19.6, MACD -1.496

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.25 (3.23%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$107.04Bearish
EMA 21$115.42Bearish
EMA 50$124.12Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 19.6 · MACD -1.496

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.25 · BB 31.09%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 13.8 · OBV -69.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$100.29 - $146.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+49.47% · 15.3 ATR above latest close

$150.12
Nearest resistance

+46.23% · 14.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$146.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.44
Nearest support

-0.14% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$100.29
Deeper support zone

-3.38% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$97.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$97.19 - $103.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $109.68, invalidation $113.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.7 / 2.2 / 63.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$112.76 / $123.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.25 (3.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.09%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$121.22 / $108.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.19 / $103.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$146.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.496Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 1.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-69.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $109.68, invalidation $113.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.7 / 2.2 / 63.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$112.76 / $123.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.496Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 1.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.25 (3.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.09%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$121.22 / $108.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.19 / $103.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-69.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$146.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.29Range

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