US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish83%
Weekly Downside probability 83%Bearish

BABA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $122.65 and stabilize above resistance $181.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $181.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.6, MACD 1.894

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.51 (8.8%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$119.03Bullish
EMA 21$122.65Bearish
EMA 50$128.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.6 · MACD 1.894

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $10.51 · BB 41.54%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.9 · OBV -20.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$91.99 - $181.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+60.56% · 6.9 ATR above latest close

$191.61
Nearest resistance

+51.75% · 5.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$181.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$119.34
Nearest support

-22.92% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.99
Deeper support zone

-31.72% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$81.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$108.83 - $129.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.99, invalidation $130.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

8.8 / 25.3 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$93.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$117.83 / $142.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.51 (8.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.54%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.04 / $101.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.83 / $129.85Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.894Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.1 / 61.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

7.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.78xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.99, invalidation $130.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

8.8 / 25.3 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$93.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$117.83 / $142.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.894Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.1 / 61.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

7.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.51 (8.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.54%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.04 / $101.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.83 / $129.85Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.78xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.99Range

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