US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish57%
Weekly Upside probability 57%Bullish

BABA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $91.99 and reclaim $181.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $91.99 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.4, MACD 1.423

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.06 (8.65%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.43Bullish
EMA 21$122.85Bullish
EMA 50$129.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.4 · MACD 1.423

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $11.06 · BB 41.42%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.1 · OBV -12.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$91.99 - $181.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+50.32% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$192.16
Nearest resistance

+41.67% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$181.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$127.83
Nearest support

-28.04% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.99
Deeper support zone

-36.69% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$80.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$116.77 - $138.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $146.87, invalidation $91.99

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.0 / 31.3 / 22.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.26 / $142.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

65%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.06 (8.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.42%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$144.16 / $100.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.77 / $138.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.423Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.3 / 52.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $146.87, invalidation $91.99

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.0 / 31.3 / 22.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.26 / $142.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

65%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.423Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.3 / 52.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.06 (8.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.42%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$144.16 / $100.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.77 / $138.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.99Range

Related Forecasts