US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish90%
Weekly Downside probability 90%Bearish

BABA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $129.04 and stabilize above resistance $181.07.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $181.07 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.6, MACD -3.057

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.5 (10.24%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.27Bearish
EMA 21$129.04Bearish
EMA 50$133.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.6 · MACD -3.057

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.5 · BB 41.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 22.8 · OBV -1467.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$101.95 - $181.07

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+86.79% · 8.5 ATR above latest close

$191.56
Nearest resistance

+76.55% · 7.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$181.07
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.56
Nearest support

-0.59% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.95
Deeper support zone

-10.83% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$91.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$92.06 - $113.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $146.87, invalidation $117.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.6 / 23.7 / 19.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$132.96 / $147.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.5 (10.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.48%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$148.97 / $107.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.06 / $113.05Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.4 / 4.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1467.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $146.87, invalidation $117.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.6 / 23.7 / 19.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$132.96 / $147.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.4 / 4.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.5 (10.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.48%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$148.97 / $107.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.06 / $113.05Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1467.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.95Range

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