US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish86%
Weekly Downside probability 86%Bearish

BABA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $123.17 and stabilize above resistance $181.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $181.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD -1.751

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.46 (10.18%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$111.73Bullish
EMA 21$123.17Bearish
EMA 50$130.23Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD -1.751

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.46 · BB 42.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.1 · OBV -16.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$91.99 - $181.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+71.01% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$192.56
Nearest resistance

+60.83% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$181.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$112.6
Nearest support

-18.3% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.99
Deeper support zone

-28.48% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$80.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$101.14 - $124.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $146.87, invalidation $91.99

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 29.6 / 22.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$79.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.46 / $142.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.46 (10.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.03%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$144.79 / $100.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.14 / $124.06Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.751Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.6 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $146.87, invalidation $91.99

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 29.6 / 22.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$79.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.46 / $142.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.751Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.6 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.46 (10.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.03%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$144.79 / $100.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.14 / $124.06Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.99Range

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