US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

BABA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $111.26 and stabilize above resistance $146.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $146.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.0, MACD -0.641

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.45 (8.95%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$104.24Bearish
EMA 21$111.26Bearish
EMA 50$120.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.0 · MACD -0.641

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.45 · BB 32.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.6 · OBV -14.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$91.99 - $146.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+64.6% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$155.32
Nearest resistance

+55.65% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$146.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.36
Nearest support

-2.51% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.99
Deeper support zone

-11.46% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$83.54
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$85.91 - $102.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.99, invalidation $112.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 16.2 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.65 / $136.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.45 (8.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.07%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.49 / $94.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.91 / $102.81Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$146.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.641Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.5 / 13.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.99, invalidation $112.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 16.2 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.65 / $136.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.641Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.5 / 13.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.45 (8.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.07%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.49 / $94.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.91 / $102.81Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$146.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.99Range

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