US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish55%
3M Upside probability 55%Bullish

BABA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $58.01 and reclaim $319.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $58.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $38.72 (34.39%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$117.75Bearish
EMA 21$133.1Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $38.72 · BB 100.30%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.5 · OBV -101.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$58.01 - $319.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+217.97% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$358.04
Nearest resistance

+183.59% · 5.3 ATR above · 29-bar high

$319.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$112.6
Nearest support

-48.48% · 1.4 ATR below · 29-bar low

$58.01
Deeper support zone

-82.87% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$19.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$73.88 - $151.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $192.67, invalidation $91.99

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 23.7 / 13.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$34.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.49 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.72 (34.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 100.30%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$225.12 / $38.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.88 / $151.32Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$319.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 36.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-101.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $192.67, invalidation $91.99

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 23.7 / 13.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$34.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.49 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 36.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.72 (34.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 100.30%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$225.12 / $38.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.88 / $151.32Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-101.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$319.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.01Range

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