US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish63%
3M Upside probability 63%Bullish

BABA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $58.01 and reclaim $319.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $58.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 49.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $39.66 (31.03%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$121.13Bullish
EMA 21$134.48Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.6 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $39.66 · BB 101.19%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.8 · OBV -96.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$58.01 - $319.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+180.83% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$358.98
Nearest resistance

+149.8% · 4.8 ATR above · 29-bar high

$319.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$127.83
Nearest support

-54.62% · 1.8 ATR below · 29-bar low

$58.01
Deeper support zone

-85.65% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$18.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$88.17 - $167.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $192.67, invalidation $91.99

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 23.1 / 12.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$31.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.49 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.66 (31.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 101.19%

71%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229.22 / $37.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.17 / $167.49Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$319.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.6 / 40.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-96.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $192.67, invalidation $91.99

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 23.1 / 12.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$31.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.49 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.6 / 40.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.66 (31.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 101.19%

71%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229.22 / $37.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.17 / $167.49Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-96.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$319.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.01Range

Related Forecasts