US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish62%
Monthly Upside probability 62%Bullish

BABA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $66.63 and reclaim $192.67.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $66.63 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.1, MACD -3.913

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $27.13 (21.22%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$127.02Bullish
EMA 21$125.79Bullish
EMA 50$129.54Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.1 · MACD -3.913

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $27.13 · BB 66.01%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 69.5 · OBV -58.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$66.63 - $192.67

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+71.95% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$219.8
Nearest resistance

+50.72% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$192.67
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$127.83
Nearest support

-47.88% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$66.63
Deeper support zone

-69.1% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$39.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$100.7 - $154.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.99, invalidation $146.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 24.8 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$51.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$134.43 / $125.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.13 (21.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.01%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$176.49 / $75.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.7 / $154.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$192.67Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$66.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.913Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 23.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.0Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-58.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.99, invalidation $146.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 24.8 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$51.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$134.43 / $125.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.913Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 23.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.0Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.13 (21.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.01%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$176.49 / $75.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.7 / $154.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-58.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$192.67Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$66.63Range

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