US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

BABA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $106.48 and stabilize above resistance $109.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $109.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD 0.015

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6569 (0.62%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$106.02Bearish
EMA 21$106.48Bearish
EMA 50$107.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD 0.015

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6569 · BB 2.97%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 30.7 · OBV 14.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$105.21 - $109.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.1% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$110.26
Nearest resistance

+3.48% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$109.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.91
Nearest support

-0.66% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$105.21
Deeper support zone

-1.28% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$104.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$105.25 - $106.57

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105.21, invalidation $106.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.4 / 15.5 / 32.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.67 / $107.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6569 (0.62%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.97%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.67 / $105.22Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.25 / $106.57Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$109.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.21Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.015Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.1 / 35.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.96%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.56xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $105.21, invalidation $106.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.4 / 15.5 / 32.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.67 / $107.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.015Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.1 / 35.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6569 (0.62%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.97%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.67 / $105.22Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.25 / $106.57Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.96%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.56xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$109.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.21Range

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