US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 hourBullish90%
1h Upside probability 90%Bullish

BABA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $115.89 and reclaim $128.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $115.89 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 66.5, MACD -0.188

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.22 (0.96%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$127.53Bearish
EMA 21$125.57Bullish
EMA 50$121.98Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.5 · MACD -0.188

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.22 · BB 9.02%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 69.5 · OBV 22.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$115.89 - $128.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.16% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$130.02
Nearest resistance

+1.2% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$128.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$127.27
Nearest support

-8.94% · 9.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$115.89
Deeper support zone

-9.9% · 10.3 ATR below latest close

$114.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$126.05 - $128.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.35, invalidation $126.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.9 / 48.1 / 15.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.59 / $120.83Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.22 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.02%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.49 / $123.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.05 / $128.49Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$128.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.188Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.6 / 83.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

45.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.35, invalidation $126.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.9 / 48.1 / 15.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.59 / $120.83Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.188Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.6 / 83.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

45.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.22 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.02%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$127.49 / $123.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.05 / $128.49Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$128.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.89Range

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