US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

BABA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $123.78 and stabilize above resistance $131.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $131.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.4, MACD -0.726

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.53 (1.28%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$121.16Bearish
EMA 21$123.78Bearish
EMA 50$125.43Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.4 · MACD -0.726

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.53 · BB 12.86%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 23.6 · OBV -43.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$119.32 - $131.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.27% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$132.93
Nearest resistance

+9.99% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$131.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$119.46
Nearest support

-0.12% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$119.32
Deeper support zone

-1.39% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$117.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$117.93 - $120.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $120.47, invalidation $122.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.8 / 6.9 / 63.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.97 / $125.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.53 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.86%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.29 / $121Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.93 / $120.99Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$131.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$119.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.726Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 1.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $120.47, invalidation $122.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.8 / 6.9 / 63.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.97 / $125.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.726Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 1.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.53 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.86%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.29 / $121Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.93 / $120.99Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$131.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$119.32Range

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