US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish80%
1h Downside probability 80%Bearish

BABA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.77 and stabilize above resistance $110.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $110.15 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 22.6, MACD 0.003

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7518 (0.75%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$101.11Bearish
EMA 21$102.77Bearish
EMA 50$106.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 22.6 · MACD 0.003

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7518 · BB 6.37%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 31.8 · OBV -1536.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$100.29 - $110.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.42% · 13.9 ATR above latest close

$110.9
Nearest resistance

+9.67% · 12.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$110.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.44
Nearest support

-0.14% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$100.29
Deeper support zone

-0.89% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$99.54
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.68 - $101.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.29, invalidation $103.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.0 / 7.8 / 50.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.79 / $107.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7518 (0.75%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.37%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.91 / $101.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.68 / $101.19Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.003Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 5.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1536.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.29, invalidation $103.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.0 / 7.8 / 50.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.79 / $107.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.003Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 5.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7518 (0.75%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.37%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.91 / $101.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.68 / $101.19Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1536.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.29Range

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