US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 hourBullish60%
1h Upside probability 60%Bullish

BABA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $107.72 and reclaim $110.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $107.72 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.9, MACD 0.081

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5033 (0.46%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$109.45Bearish
EMA 21$109.38Bearish
EMA 50$109.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD 0.081

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.5033 · BB 1.61%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 45.6 · OBV -0.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$107.72 - $110.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.59% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$111.05
Nearest resistance

+1.13% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$110.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$109.31
Nearest support

-1.45% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$107.72
Deeper support zone

-1.92% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$107.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$108.81 - $109.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.55, invalidation $109.25

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.2 / 34.1 / 15.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.47 / $110.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5033 (0.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.61%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.42 / $108.33Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.81 / $109.81Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.081Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.1 / 50.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.74xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.55, invalidation $109.25

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.2 / 34.1 / 15.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.47 / $110.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.081Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.1 / 50.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5033 (0.46%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.61%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.42 / $108.33Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.81 / $109.81Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.74xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.72Range

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