US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish89%
1h Downside probability 89%Bearish

BABA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $100.93 and stabilize above resistance $104.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $104.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.4, MACD 0.077

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7813 (0.78%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$100.12Bearish
EMA 21$100.93Bearish
EMA 50$102.96Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.4 · MACD 0.077

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7813 · BB 4.19%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 51.2 · OBV -64.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$98.91 - $104.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.63% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$105.43
Nearest resistance

+4.85% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$104.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$99.81
Nearest support

-0.9% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$98.91
Deeper support zone

-1.68% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$98.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.03 - $100.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.82, invalidation $99.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 17.7 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$101.09 / $104.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7813 (0.78%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.19%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.8 / $98.92Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.03 / $100.59Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.077Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.9 / 36.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.82, invalidation $99.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 17.7 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$101.09 / $104.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.077Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.9 / 36.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7813 (0.78%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.19%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$102.8 / $98.92Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.03 / $100.59Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.91Range

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