US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish79%
4h Upside probability 79%Bullish

ARES 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $137.12 and reclaim $149.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $137.12 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.4, MACD 0.059

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.77 (1.24%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$142.64Bearish
EMA 21$142.19Bullish
EMA 50$140.36Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.4 · MACD 0.059

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.77 · BB 3.66%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 43.5 · OBV -7.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$137.12 - $149.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.37% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$151.48
Nearest resistance

+5.13% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$149.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$142.41
Nearest support

-3.71% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$137.12
Deeper support zone

-4.96% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$135.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$140.64 - $144.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.17, invalidation $141.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.9 / 32.7 / 24.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$141.91 / $142.07Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

66%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.77 (1.24%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.66%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$146.27 / $138.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$140.64 / $144.18Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$137.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.059Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.8 / 78.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.17, invalidation $141.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.9 / 32.7 / 24.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$141.91 / $142.07Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

66%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.059Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.8 / 78.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.77 (1.24%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.66%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$146.27 / $138.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$140.64 / $144.18Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$137.12Range

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