US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

ARES 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $116.91 and reclaim $127.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $116.91 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 64.7, MACD 0.057

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.02 (1.6%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$124.82Bullish
EMA 21$123.35Bullish
EMA 50$121.81Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 64.7 · MACD 0.057

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.02 · BB 6.79%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 68.0 · OBV 16.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$116.91 - $127.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.02% · 1.9 ATR above latest close

$129.48
Nearest resistance

+1.42% · 0.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$127.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.68
Nearest support

-6.98% · 4.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$116.91
Deeper support zone

-8.58% · 5.4 ATR below latest close

$114.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$123.66 - $127.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.47, invalidation $122.4

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.7 / 32.9 / 15.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.62 / $116.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.02 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.79%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.87 / $120.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.66 / $127.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$116.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.057Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.9 / 71.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

83.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.40xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.47, invalidation $122.4

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.7 / 32.9 / 15.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.62 / $116.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.057Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.9 / 71.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

83.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.02 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.79%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.87 / $120.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.66 / $127.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.40xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$116.91Range

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