US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish63%
4h Downside probability 63%Bearish

ARES 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $128.58 and stabilize above resistance $140.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.4, MACD -1.713

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.87 (3.21%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$126.02Bearish
EMA 21$128.58Bearish
EMA 50$127.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.4 · MACD -1.713

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.87 · BB 15.12%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 7.4 · OBV -9.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$117.45 - $140.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.72% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$144.61
Nearest resistance

+16.51% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.79
Nearest support

-2.77% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$117.45
Deeper support zone

-5.97% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$113.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$116.92 - $124.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140.74, invalidation $126.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.6 / 16.3 / 39.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.14 / $129.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.87 (3.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.12%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.22 / $120.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.92 / $124.66Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$117.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.713Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.4 / 6.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-190.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

7.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.83xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140.74, invalidation $126.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.6 / 16.3 / 39.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.14 / $129.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.713Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.4 / 6.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-190.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.87 (3.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.12%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.22 / $120.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.92 / $124.66Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

7.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.83xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$117.45Range

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