US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish72%
4h Upside probability 72%Bullish

ARES 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $121.66 and reclaim $144.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $121.66 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 55.9, MACD -0.715

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.74 (1.28%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$138.11Bearish
EMA 21$136.28Bullish
EMA 50$131.56Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.9 · MACD -0.715

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.74 · BB 13.35%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 58.8 · OBV 38.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$121.66 - $144.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.97% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$146.4
Nearest resistance

+5.7% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$144.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$136.85
Nearest support

-11.1% · 8.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.66
Deeper support zone

-12.37% · 9.7 ATR below latest close

$119.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$135.11 - $138.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.79, invalidation $140.83

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.9 / 30.0 / 36.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$131.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.94 / $131.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.74 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.35%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$140.06 / $132.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$135.11 / $138.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$144.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.715Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.8 / 18.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-9.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.79, invalidation $140.83

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.9 / 30.0 / 36.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$131.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.94 / $131.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.715Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.8 / 18.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-9.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.74 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.35%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$140.06 / $132.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$135.11 / $138.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$144.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.66Range

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