US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish65%
12h Downside probability 65%Bearish

ARES 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $127.6 and stabilize above resistance $140.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.6, MACD -1.157

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.7 (4.72%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$127.77Bearish
EMA 21$127.6Bearish
EMA 50$124.97Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.6 · MACD -1.157

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.7 · BB 11.74%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.4 · OBV -19.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$117.45 - $140.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.23% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$146.43
Nearest resistance

+16.51% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.79
Nearest support

-2.77% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$117.45
Deeper support zone

-7.49% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$111.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$115.09 - $126.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140.74, invalidation $126.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 25.9 / 33.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.09 / $119.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.7 (4.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.74%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.59 / $116.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.09 / $126.49Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$117.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.157Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.4 / 28.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140.74, invalidation $126.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 25.9 / 33.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.09 / $119.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.157Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.4 / 28.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.7 (4.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.74%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.59 / $116.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.09 / $126.49Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$117.45Range

Related Forecasts