US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish90%
12h Downside probability 90%Bearish

ARES 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $131.88 and stabilize above resistance $149.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $149.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.2, MACD -1.141

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.49 (2.79%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$127.4Bearish
EMA 21$131.88Bearish
EMA 50$133.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.2 · MACD -1.141

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.49 · BB 18.83%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.7 · OBV -5.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$121.29 - $149.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.25% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$153.21
Nearest resistance

+19.47% · 7.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$149.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.32
Nearest support

-3.22% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.29
Deeper support zone

-6% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$117.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$121.83 - $128.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.29, invalidation $134.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 18.7 / 40.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$130.48 / $135.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.49 (2.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.83%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$139.26 / $124.06Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.83 / $128.81Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.141Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 16.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.29, invalidation $134.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 18.7 / 40.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$130.48 / $135.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.141Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 16.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.49 (2.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.83%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$139.26 / $124.06Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.83 / $128.81Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.29Range

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