US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish83%
1h Downside probability 83%Bearish

ARES 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $138.32 and stabilize above resistance $144.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $144.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.6, MACD -0.287

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.1 (0.81%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$137.86Bearish
EMA 21$138.32Bearish
EMA 50$136.69Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.6 · MACD -0.287

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.1 · BB 2.53%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.2 · OBV 2.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$136.79 - $144.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.51% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$145.75
Nearest resistance

+5.7% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$144.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$136.85
Nearest support

-0.04% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$136.79
Deeper support zone

-0.85% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$135.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$135.75 - $137.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.85, invalidation $138.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 28.4 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$133.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$139.77 / $135.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.1 (0.81%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.53%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$140.48 / $136.15Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$135.75 / $137.95Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$144.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$136.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.287Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.5 / 20.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.88xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.85, invalidation $138.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 28.4 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$133.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$139.77 / $135.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.287Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.5 / 20.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.1 (0.81%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.53%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$140.48 / $136.15Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$135.75 / $137.95Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.88xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$144.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$136.79Range

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