US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish65%
1h Downside probability 65%Bearish

ARES 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $142.71 and stabilize above resistance $145.17.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $145.17 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.3, MACD -0.071

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9575 (0.67%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$143.08Bearish
EMA 21$142.71Bearish
EMA 50$142.18Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.3 · MACD -0.071

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9575 · BB 2.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 34.6 · OBV -23.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$137.12 - $145.17

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.61% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$146.12
Nearest resistance

+1.93% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$145.17
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$142.41
Nearest support

-3.71% · 5.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$137.12
Deeper support zone

-4.39% · 6.5 ATR below latest close

$136.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$141.45 - $143.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.17, invalidation $141.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 35.8 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$139.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$142.14 / $141.14Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9575 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.62%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$144.76 / $140.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$141.45 / $143.37Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$145.17Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$137.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.071Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 41.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $145.17, invalidation $141.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 35.8 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$139.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$142.14 / $141.14Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.071Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 41.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9575 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.62%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$144.76 / $140.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$141.45 / $143.37Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$145.17Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$137.12Range

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