US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish89%
1h Downside probability 89%Bearish

ARES 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $125.02 and stabilize above resistance $136.92.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $136.92 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.4, MACD -0.598

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.85 (1.53%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$121.2Bearish
EMA 21$125.02Bearish
EMA 50$128.37Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.4 · MACD -0.598

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.85 · BB 13.52%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.3 · OBV 3.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$117.45 - $136.92

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.88% · 9.7 ATR above latest close

$138.76
Nearest resistance

+13.35% · 8.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$136.92
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.79
Nearest support

-2.77% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$117.45
Deeper support zone

-4.3% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$115.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$118.94 - $122.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $125.84, invalidation $130.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.4 / 20.9 / 56.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$124.49 / $129.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.85 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.52%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.36 / $121.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$118.94 / $122.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$117.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.598Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.5 / 11.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.84xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $125.84, invalidation $130.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.4 / 20.9 / 56.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$124.49 / $129.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.598Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.5 / 11.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.85 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.52%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.36 / $121.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$118.94 / $122.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.84xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$117.45Range

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