US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARES 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $126.59 and stabilize above resistance $132.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $132.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.4, MACD 0.209

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.58 (1.26%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$125.95Bearish
EMA 21$126.59Bearish
EMA 50$128.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.4 · MACD 0.209

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.58 · BB 5.35%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.7 · OBV -24.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$121.29 - $132.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.77% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$133.81
Nearest resistance

+5.51% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$132.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.32
Nearest support

-3.22% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.29
Deeper support zone

-4.48% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$119.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$123.74 - $126.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.29, invalidation $126.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 28.9 / 42.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.91 / $127.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.58 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.35%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.8 / $124.23Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.74 / $126.9Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$132.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.209Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.3 / 70.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.36xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.29, invalidation $126.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 28.9 / 42.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.91 / $127.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.209Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.3 / 70.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.58 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.35%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.8 / $124.23Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.74 / $126.9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.36xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$132.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.29Range

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