US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARES 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $116.77 and stabilize above resistance $120.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $120.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.8, MACD -0.187

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9225 (0.8%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$116.12Bearish
EMA 21$116.77Bearish
EMA 50$117.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.8 · MACD -0.187

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9225 · BB 4.19%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.5 · OBV -42.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$114.78 - $120.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.55% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$121.01
Nearest resistance

+3.75% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$120.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.75
Nearest support

-0.84% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$114.78
Deeper support zone

-1.63% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$113.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$114.83 - $116.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $118.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 15.3 / 41.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.61 / $116.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9225 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.19%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.78 / $114.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.83 / $116.67Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$120.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.187Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.3 / 26.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-42.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.44xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $118.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 15.3 / 41.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.61 / $116.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.187Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.3 / 26.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9225 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.19%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.78 / $114.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.83 / $116.67Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-42.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.44xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$120.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.78Range

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