US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish78%
Monthly Downside probability 78%Bearish

ARES 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $135.86 and stabilize above resistance $200.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $200.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.9, MACD -4.091

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.53 (20.36%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$127.5Bearish
EMA 21$135.86Bearish
EMA 50$124.34Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD -4.091

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.53 · BB 64.71%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV 18.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.8 - $200.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+80.26% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$226.02
Nearest resistance

+59.9% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$200.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.38
Nearest support

-23.59% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-43.95% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$70.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.85 - $150.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $149.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 18.4 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.68 / $128.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.53 (20.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.71%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$187.11 / $84.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.85 / $150.91Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.091Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.5 / 33.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $149.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 18.4 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.68 / $128.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.091Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.5 / 33.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.53 (20.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.71%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$187.11 / $84.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.85 / $150.91Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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