US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish80%
Monthly Downside probability 80%Bearish

ARES 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $134.99 and stabilize above resistance $200.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $200.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -4.706

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.98 (21.59%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$125.36Bearish
EMA 21$134.99Bearish
EMA 50$123.96Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -4.706

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $24.98 · BB 66.23%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.1 · OBV 8.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.8 - $200.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+94.79% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$225.47
Nearest resistance

+73.21% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$200.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.75
Nearest support

-17.24% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-38.82% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$70.82
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$90.77 - $140.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $149.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 18.8 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.68 / $128.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.98 (21.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.23%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$184.66 / $84.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.77 / $140.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.706Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.9 / 29.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $149.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 18.8 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.68 / $128.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.706Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.9 / 29.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.98 (21.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.23%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$184.66 / $84.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.77 / $140.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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