US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish74%
Monthly Downside probability 74%Bearish

ARES 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $138.47 and stabilize above resistance $200.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $200.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.2, MACD -7.055

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.75 (19.69%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$128.01Bearish
EMA 21$138.47Bearish
EMA 50$123.83Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD -7.055

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $24.75 · BB 68.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.2 · OBV -3.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.8 - $200.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+79.21% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$225.24
Nearest resistance

+59.52% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$200.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.68
Nearest support

-23.77% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-43.47% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$71.05
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$100.93 - $150.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 18.7 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$143.32 / $126.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.75 (19.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 68.28%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$190.15 / $86.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.93 / $150.43Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.055Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 26.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 18.7 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$143.32 / $126.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.055Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 26.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.75 (19.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 68.28%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$190.15 / $86.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.93 / $150.43Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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