US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish69%
Monthly Downside probability 69%Bearish

ARES 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $138.52 and stabilize above resistance $200.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $200.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD -5.114

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.09 (18.33%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$130.39Bullish
EMA 21$138.52Bearish
EMA 50$124.43Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD -5.114

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.09 · BB 67.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.6 · OBV -2.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.8 - $200.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+64.83% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$225.57
Nearest resistance

+46.5% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$200.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$136.85
Nearest support

-30% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-48.33% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$70.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$111.76 - $161.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 23.2 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$143.32 / $126.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.09 (18.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.50%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$189.98 / $86.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.76 / $161.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.114Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.3 / 29.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 23.2 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$143.32 / $126.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.114Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.3 / 29.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.09 (18.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.50%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$189.98 / $86.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.76 / $161.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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