US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish74%
Monthly Downside probability 74%Bearish

ARES 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $139.54 and stabilize above resistance $200.08.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $200.08 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.5, MACD -8.460

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.58 (22.54%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$128.18Bearish
EMA 21$139.54Bearish
EMA 50$122.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.5 · MACD -8.460

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $24.58 · BB 67.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.4 · OBV -22.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.8 - $200.08

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+106.01% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$224.65
Nearest resistance

+83.47% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$200.08
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$109.05
Nearest support

-12.15% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-34.69% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$71.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$84.47 - $133.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 24.1 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$44.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$143.22 / $126.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.58 (22.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.36%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.93 / $86.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.47 / $133.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.08Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.460Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.5 / 23.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 24.1 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$44.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$143.22 / $126.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.460Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.5 / 23.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.58 (22.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.36%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.93 / $86.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.47 / $133.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.08Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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