US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 monthRange53%
Monthly Range probability 94%Range

ARES 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $95.8 - $200.49 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.4, MACD -4.759

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.36 (17.81%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$131.62Bullish
EMA 21$139.03Bullish
EMA 50$124.65Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.4 · MACD -4.759

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $25.36 · BB 67.08%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.1 · OBV 2.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.8 - $200.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+58.59% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$225.85
Nearest resistance

+40.78% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$200.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$142.41
Nearest support

-32.73% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-50.54% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$70.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$117.05 - $167.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 24.0 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$143.32 / $126.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.36 (17.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.08%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$191.29 / $86.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.05 / $167.77Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.759Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.9 / 31.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 24.0 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$143.32 / $126.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.759Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.9 / 31.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.36 (17.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.08%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$191.29 / $86.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.05 / $167.77Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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