US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish74%
Monthly Downside probability 74%Bearish

ARES 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $137.74 and stabilize above resistance $200.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $200.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.4, MACD -4.292

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.57 (20.41%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$130.14Bearish
EMA 21$137.74Bearish
EMA 50$124.66Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.4 · MACD -4.292

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.57 · BB 63.09%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.5 · OBV 4.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.8 - $200.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+80.39% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$226.06
Nearest resistance

+59.98% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$200.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.32
Nearest support

-23.56% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-43.96% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$70.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.75 - $150.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 19.8 / 27.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$53.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$142.45 / $126.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.57 (20.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.09%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$190.4 / $84.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.75 / $150.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.292Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.7 / 36.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $181.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 19.8 / 27.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$53.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$142.45 / $126.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.292Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.7 / 36.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.57 (20.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.09%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$190.4 / $84.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.75 / $150.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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