US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish68%
Weekly Downside probability 68%Bearish

ARES 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $125.82 and stabilize above resistance $181.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $181.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.9, MACD 2.193

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.81 (10.83%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$122.4Bearish
EMA 21$125.82Bearish
EMA 50$137.79Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.9 · MACD 2.193

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.81 · BB 36.33%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 66.9 · OBV -52.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.8 - $181.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+76.99% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$193
Nearest resistance

+66.15% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$181.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$109.05
Nearest support

-12.15% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-22.98% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$83.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$97.24 - $120.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.51, invalidation $98.56

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 20.6 / 19.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$130.66 / $144.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.81 (10.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.33%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$148.28 / $102.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.24 / $120.86Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.193Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.9 / 64.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-52.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.51, invalidation $98.56

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 20.6 / 19.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$130.66 / $144.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.193Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.9 / 64.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.81 (10.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.33%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$148.28 / $102.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.24 / $120.86Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-52.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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