US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish73%
Weekly Downside probability 73%Bearish

ARES 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $125.83 and stabilize above resistance $149.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $149.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.8, MACD -0.834

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.88 (7.88%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$122.97Bullish
EMA 21$125.83Bearish
EMA 50$132.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.8 · MACD -0.834

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.88 · BB 31.13%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.5 · OBV -4.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$95.8 - $149.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.41% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$159.75
Nearest resistance

+19.53% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$149.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.38
Nearest support

-23.59% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-31.47% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$85.92
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$115.5 - $135.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $149.87, invalidation $110.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.4 / 22.0 / 20.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.29 / $138.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.88 (7.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.13%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.77 / $107.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.5 / $135.26Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.834Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.1 / 24.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $149.87, invalidation $110.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.4 / 22.0 / 20.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.29 / $138.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.834Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.1 / 24.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.88 (7.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.13%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.77 / $107.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.5 / $135.26Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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