US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish68%
Weekly Downside probability 68%Bearish

ARES 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $127.52 and stabilize above resistance $149.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $149.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -1.218

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.92 (8.57%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$124.9Bearish
EMA 21$127.52Bearish
EMA 50$133.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -1.218

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.92 · BB 29.42%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.1 · OBV -12.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$95.8 - $149.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.05% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$159.79
Nearest resistance

+29.48% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$149.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.75
Nearest support

-17.24% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$95.8
Deeper support zone

-25.81% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$85.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$105.83 - $125.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $149.87, invalidation $105.79

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 24.0 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.1 / $138.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.92 (8.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.42%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$148.26 / $106.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.83 / $125.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.218Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 23.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $149.87, invalidation $105.79

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 24.0 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.1 / $138.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.218Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 23.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.92 (8.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.42%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$148.26 / $106.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.83 / $125.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$95.8Range

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