US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish76%
Daily Downside probability 76%Bearish

ARES 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $123.44 and stabilize above resistance $140.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.0, MACD -2.793

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.71 (5.23%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$118.67Bearish
EMA 21$123.44Bearish
EMA 50$123.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.0 · MACD -2.793

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.71 · BB 23.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.6 · OBV -33.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$108.43 - $140.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.29% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$146.44
Nearest resistance

+29.06% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$109.05
Nearest support

-0.57% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$108.43
Deeper support zone

-5.81% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$102.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$103.34 - $114.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140.74, invalidation $126.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.8 / 16.1 / 38.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.72 / $124.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.71 (5.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.17%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.28 / $111.39Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.34 / $114.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$108.43Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.793Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 2.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-194.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140.74, invalidation $126.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.8 / 16.1 / 38.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.72 / $124.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.793Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.9 / 2.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-194.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.71 (5.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.17%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.28 / $111.39Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.34 / $114.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$108.43Range

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