US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish76%
Daily Downside probability 76%Bearish

ARES 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $134.44 and stabilize above resistance $149.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $149.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.0, MACD -2.101

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.27 (3.41%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$130.32Bearish
EMA 21$134.44Bearish
EMA 50$133.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.0 · MACD -2.101

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.27 · BB 17.04%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.8 · OBV -1.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$121.29 - $149.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$154.14
Nearest resistance

+19.59% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$149.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.32
Nearest support

-3.22% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.29
Deeper support zone

-6.62% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$117.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$121.05 - $129.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $143.19, invalidation $137.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.3 / 3.1 / 38.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$133.43 / $133.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.27 (3.41%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.04%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.63 / $125.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.05 / $129.59Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.101Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 11.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $143.19, invalidation $137.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.3 / 3.1 / 38.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$133.43 / $133.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.101Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 11.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.27 (3.41%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.04%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.63 / $125.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.05 / $129.59Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.29Range

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