US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARES 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $122.25 and stabilize above resistance $145.53.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $145.53 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.4, MACD -0.225

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.74 (3.23%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.46Bearish
EMA 21$122.25Bearish
EMA 50$126.87Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.4 · MACD -0.225

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.74 · BB 17.12%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.1 · OBV -10.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$113.06 - $145.53

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.96% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$149.27
Nearest resistance

+25.73% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$145.53
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.75
Nearest support

-2.32% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$113.06
Deeper support zone

-5.55% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$109.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$112.01 - $119.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $113.06, invalidation $120.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.4 / 19.5 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$105.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.5 / $131.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.74 (3.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.12%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.62 / $115.23Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$112.01 / $119.49Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$145.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.06Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 19.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $113.06, invalidation $120.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.4 / 19.5 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$105.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.5 / $131.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 19.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.74 (3.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.12%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.62 / $115.23Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$112.01 / $119.49Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$145.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.06Range

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