US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish72%
Daily Downside probability 72%Bearish

AJG 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $249.34 and stabilize above resistance $269.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $269.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.7, MACD -1.921

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.61 (3.47%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$250.77Bearish
EMA 21$249.34Bearish
EMA 50$239.66Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD -1.921

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.61 · BB 10.20%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.0 · OBV -13.23%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$211.99 - $269.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.28% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$278.6
Nearest resistance

+8.81% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$269.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$248.12
Nearest support

-14.56% · 4.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$211.99
Deeper support zone

-18.03% · 5.2 ATR below latest close

$203.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$239.51 - $256.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.82, invalidation $253.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 25.9 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$255.41 / $234.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.61 (3.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.20%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$269.95 / $229.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$239.51 / $256.73Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$269.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$211.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.921Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 29.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.82, invalidation $253.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 25.9 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$255.41 / $234.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.921Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 29.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.61 (3.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.20%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$269.95 / $229.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$239.51 / $256.73Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$269.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$211.99Range

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