US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

AJG 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $235.26 and stabilize above resistance $272.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $272.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -0.136

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.8 (2.55%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$228.8Bearish
EMA 21$235.26Bearish
EMA 50$241.06Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -0.136

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.8 · BB 13.18%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.4 · OBV -22.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$219.65 - $272.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.41% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$278.59
Nearest resistance

+19.86% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$272.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$227.59
Nearest support

-3.49% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$219.65
Deeper support zone

-6.04% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$213.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$221.79 - $233.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $219.65, invalidation $234.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.9 / 16.8 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.17 / $246.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.8 (2.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.18%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$246.39 / $223.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.79 / $233.39Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.136Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 30.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $219.65, invalidation $234.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.9 / 16.8 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.17 / $246.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.136Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 30.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.8 (2.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.18%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$246.39 / $223.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.79 / $233.39Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.65Range

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