US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish87%
Daily Downside probability 87%Bearish

AJG 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $252.14 and stabilize above resistance $272.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $272.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.5, MACD -2.455

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.88 (2.85%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$247.14Bearish
EMA 21$252.14Bearish
EMA 50$249.52Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.5 · MACD -2.455

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.88 · BB 15.21%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.7 · OBV -14.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$240.3 - $272.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.02% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$279.67
Nearest resistance

+13.17% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$272.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$241.05
Nearest support

-0.31% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$240.3
Deeper support zone

-3.17% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$233.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$234.18 - $247.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.32, invalidation $254.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.8 / 18.3 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$255.03 / $256.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.88 (2.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.21%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266 / $238Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$234.18 / $247.93Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$240.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.455Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.4 / 12.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.32, invalidation $254.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.8 / 18.3 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$255.03 / $256.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.455Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.4 / 12.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.88 (2.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.21%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266 / $238Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$234.18 / $247.93Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$240.3Range

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