US stock / ETF

Ares Management Corporation

ARES · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish58%
3M Downside probability 58%Bearish

ARES 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $106.6 and stabilize above resistance $200.08.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $200.08 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.33 (34.23%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$133.83Bearish
EMA 21$106.6Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $37.33 · BB 132.52%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.6 · OBV 190.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$38.25 - $200.08

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+117.7% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$237.4
Nearest resistance

+83.47% · 2.4 ATR above · 24-bar high

$200.08
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$109.05
Nearest support

-64.92% · 1.9 ATR below · 24-bar low

$38.25
Deeper support zone

-99.15% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$0.9239
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$71.72 - $146.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $193.79

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$13.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.33 (34.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 132.52%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$197.97 / $20.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.72 / $146.38Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.08Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.4 / 46.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

190.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $95.8, invalidation $193.79

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$13.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.4 / 46.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.33 (34.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 132.52%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$197.97 / $20.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$71.72 / $146.38Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

190.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$200.08Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$38.25Range

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