Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish69%
4h Downside probability 69%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 93.05 and stabilize above resistance 101.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 101.57 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.2, MACD 0.221

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 1.52 (1.65%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 892.36Bearish
EMA 2193.05Bearish
EMA 5094.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD 0.221

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 1.52 · BB 3.60%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.4 · OBV -16.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
88.88 - 101.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.14% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

103.09
Nearest resistance

+10.49% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

101.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

91.93
Nearest support

-3.32% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

88.88
Deeper support zone

-4.97% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

87.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

90.41 - 93.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 94.06, invalidation 90.93

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.0 / 21.7 / 15.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

87.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

93.86 / 95.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1.52 (1.65%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.60%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

95.92 / 90.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

90.41 / 93.45Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

101.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

88.88Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.221Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.9 / 68.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

1.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 94.06, invalidation 90.93

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.0 / 21.7 / 15.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

87.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

93.86 / 95.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.221Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.9 / 68.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

1.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1.52 (1.65%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.60%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

95.92 / 90.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

90.41 / 93.45Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

101.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

88.88Range

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