Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBullish90%
4h Upside probability 90%Bullish

AAVEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $70.54 and reclaim $79.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $70.54 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.4, MACD 0.369

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.77 (3.54%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$75.13Bullish
EMA 21$74.49Bullish
EMA 50$73.62Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.4 · MACD 0.369

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.77 · BB 9.93%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 54.3 · OBV -19.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$70.54 - $79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.52% · 1.3 ATR above latest close

$81.77
Nearest resistance

+0.98% · 0.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$78.23
Nearest support

-9.83% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$70.54
Deeper support zone

-13.37% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$67.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$75.46 - $81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79, invalidation $71.17

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 25.6 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.93 / $74.77Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

91%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.77 (3.54%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.93%

101%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.58 / $68.43Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.46 / $81Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$70.54Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.369Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.9 / 70.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

136.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79, invalidation $71.17

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 25.6 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.93 / $74.77Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

91%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.369Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.9 / 70.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

136.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.77 (3.54%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.93%

101%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.58 / $68.43Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.46 / $81Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$70.54Range

Related Forecasts