Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBullish81%
4h Upside probability 81%Bullish

AAVEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above 88.13 and reclaim 102.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose 88.13 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 59.1, MACD 0.116

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 2.13 (2.16%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 897.59Bullish
EMA 2196.63Bullish
EMA 5094.58Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 59.1 · MACD 0.116

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 2.13 · BB 7.93%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.0 · OBV -0.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
88.13 - 102.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.63% · 2.6 ATR above latest close

104.35
Nearest resistance

+3.47% · 1.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

102.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

98.79
Nearest support

-10.79% · 5.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

88.13
Deeper support zone

-12.95% · 6.0 ATR below latest close

86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

96.66 - 100.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 101.14, invalidation 93.33

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 25.8 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

92.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

97.51 / 94.06Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

2.13 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.93%

71%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

100.87 / 92.54Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

96.66 / 100.92Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

102.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

88.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.116Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

69.9 / 75.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

65.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 101.14, invalidation 93.33

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 25.8 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

92.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

97.51 / 94.06Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.116Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

69.9 / 75.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

65.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

2.13 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.93%

71%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

100.87 / 92.54Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

96.66 / 100.92Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

102.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

88.13Range

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