Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 119.3 and stabilize above resistance 134.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 134.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 21.8, MACD -1.004

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 3.05 (2.77%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8114.1Bearish
EMA 21119.3Bearish
EMA 50124.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 21.8 · MACD -1.004

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 3.05 · BB 18.37%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 26.2 · OBV -315.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
109.33 - 134.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.01% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

137.75
Nearest resistance

+22.24% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

134.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

110.19
Nearest support

-0.78% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

109.33
Deeper support zone

-3.55% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

106.28
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

107.14 - 113.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 110.76, invalidation 125.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.2 / 2.7 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

100.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

119.27 / 122.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

3.05 (2.77%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.37%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

125.36 / 112.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

107.14 / 113.24Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

134.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

109.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

21.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.004Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-138.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-315.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 110.76, invalidation 125.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.2 / 2.7 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

100.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

119.27 / 122.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

21.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.004Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-138.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

3.05 (2.77%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.37%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

125.36 / 112.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

107.14 / 113.24Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-315.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

134.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

109.33Range

Related Forecasts