Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBullish80%
4h Upside probability 80%Bullish

AAVEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above 120.29 and reclaim 133.03.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose 120.29 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.8, MACD 0.538

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 2.5 (1.98%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8126.17Bullish
EMA 21126.02Bullish
EMA 50127.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.8 · MACD 0.538

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 2.5 · BB 6.21%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 65.3 · OBV 10.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
120.29 - 133.03

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.1% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

135.53
Nearest resistance

+5.12% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

133.03
Current price

Price shown is delayed

126.55
Nearest support

-4.95% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

120.29
Deeper support zone

-6.92% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

117.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

124.05 - 129.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 127.99, invalidation 125.13

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.3 / 33.5 / 4.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

121.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

125.83 / 130.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

2.5 (1.98%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.21%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

129.99 / 121.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

124.05 / 129.05Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

133.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

120.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.538Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.9 / 61.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

98.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.32%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 127.99, invalidation 125.13

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.3 / 33.5 / 4.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

121.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

125.83 / 130.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.538Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.9 / 61.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

98.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

2.5 (1.98%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.21%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

129.99 / 121.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

124.05 / 129.05Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.32%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

133.03Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

120.29Range

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