Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 150.2 and stabilize above resistance 160.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 160.55 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.8, MACD -0.255

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 3.41 (2.31%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8148.63Bearish
EMA 21150.2Bearish
EMA 50153.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.8 · MACD -0.255

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 3.41 · BB 10.34%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 52.5 · OBV -27.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
144.3 - 160.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.78% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

163.96
Nearest resistance

+8.47% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

160.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

148.01
Nearest support

-2.51% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

144.3
Deeper support zone

-4.81% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

140.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

144.6 - 151.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 144.3, invalidation 150.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.5 / 16.5 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

139.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

150.07 / 155.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

3.41 (2.31%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.34%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

155.86 / 144.35Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

144.6 / 151.42Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

160.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

144.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.255Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 22.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 144.3, invalidation 150.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.5 / 16.5 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

139.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

150.07 / 155.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.255Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 22.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

3.41 (2.31%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.34%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

155.86 / 144.35Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

144.6 / 151.42Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

160.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

144.3Range

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