Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBullish89%
4h Upside probability 89%Bullish

AAVEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above 86.78 and reclaim 145.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose 86.78 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 76.7, MACD 1.276

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 7.83 (5.61%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8133.82Bullish
EMA 21122.56Bullish
EMA 50109.17Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 76.7 · MACD 1.276

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 7.83 · BB 40.51%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 74.0 · OBV 411.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
86.78 - 145.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.67% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

152.92
Nearest resistance

+4.05% · 0.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

145.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

139.44
Nearest support

-37.77% · 6.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

86.78
Deeper support zone

-43.38% · 7.7 ATR below latest close

78.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

131.61 - 147.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 128.18, invalidation 120.87

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.0 / 36.7 / 14.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

119.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

126 / 115.21Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

88%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

7.83 (5.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.51%

85%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

136.42 / 110.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

131.61 / 147.27Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

145.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

86.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.276Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.0 / 88.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

122.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

411.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 128.18, invalidation 120.87

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.0 / 36.7 / 14.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

119.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

126 / 115.21Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

88%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.276Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.0 / 88.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

122.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

7.83 (5.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.51%

85%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

136.42 / 110.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

131.61 / 147.27Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

411.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

145.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

86.78Range

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