Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 hourBearish85%
1h Downside probability 85%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 113.77 and stabilize above resistance 123.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 123.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 25.6, MACD -0.088

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 1.39 (1.26%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8111.93Bearish
EMA 21113.77Bearish
EMA 50117.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 25.6 · MACD -0.088

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1.39 · BB 5.03%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.4 · OBV -6.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
109.33 - 123.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.55% · 10.8 ATR above latest close

125.12
Nearest resistance

+12.29% · 9.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

123.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

110.19
Nearest support

-0.78% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

109.33
Deeper support zone

-2.04% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

107.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

108.8 - 111.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 115.09, invalidation 110.76

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 15.4 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

105.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

113.22 / 117.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1.39 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.03%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

116.6 / 110.67Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

108.8 / 111.58Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

123.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

109.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.9 / 15.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-190.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 115.09, invalidation 110.76

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 15.4 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

105.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

113.22 / 117.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.9 / 15.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-190.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1.39 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.03%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

116.6 / 110.67Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

108.8 / 111.58Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

123.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

109.33Range

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